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SEC football win total predictions for 2024 season

Previewing each SEC team's projected win totals for the 2024 football season
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An important step on the road to the college football season has arrived as the pre-spring football win totals for teams around the country have been revealed by the odds makers at FanDuel Sportsbook, and as expected, many of the top projected teams on the big board hail from the SEC.

Many of the more difficult schedules in the 2024 season predictably reside in the Southeastern Conference, which will expand to 16 teams this year after the bombshell addition of football powers Texas and Oklahoma to the rotation come this fall.

Here are the latest preseason win total predictions for SEC teams, and our projections for where you should be placing your early bets.

Missouri

Missouri Tigers wide receiver Theo Wease catches a pass during a college football game in the SEC.

Projected wins: 9.5

Our pick: Over. Missouri gets a great schedule in 2024 and brings on some critical defensive transfer players while quarterback Brady Cook and wideouts Theo Wease and Luther Burden also return.

Kentucky

Kentucky Wildcats wide receiver Dane Key catches a pass during a college football game in the SEC.

Projected wins: 6.5

Our pick: Under. Some notable early games for the Wildcats include against South Carolina and Auburn, both at home, but there's also a trip to Florida in mid-October. If UK can win two of those three, it's possible it gets to seven wins.

Arkansas

Arkansas Razorbacks tight end Luke Hasz catches a pass during a college football game in the SEC.

Projected wins: 5.5

Our pick: Under. Arkansas faces one of the more difficult schedules in college football and does so with some notable roster turnover. The Razorbacks face off against Ole Miss, Texas, LSU, Tennessee, Missouri, and even Oklahoma State.

Mississippi State

Mississippi State Bulldogs wide receiver Jaden Walley after catching a pass during a college football game in the SEC.

Projected wins: 4.5

Our pick: Over. First-year coach Jeff Lebby brings a highly-credentialed history as an offensive game-planner to the Bulldogs, who face a customarily tough schedule, but there's a road game at Arizona State early on and trips to Texas and Georgia in consecutive weeks, with late games at Tennessee and Ole Miss.

Vanderbilt

Scenes at a Vanderbilt Commodores college football game in the SEC.

Projected wins: 2.5

Our pick: Over. Vandy should win at least three games if only it beats Alcorn State, Ga. State, and Ball State, but otherwise it's tough to find a win on this schedule, especially with an opener against a good Virginia Tech team and losing key playmakers at quarterback and wide receiver.

Florida

Florida Gators quarterback Graham Mertz attempts a pass during a college football game in the SEC.

Projected wins: 5.5

Our pick: Under. This might be a rough year for the Gators, who face Miami and Florida State in the non-conference slate and deal with a brutal late stretch against the Vols, UK, Georgia, Texas, LSU, and Ole Miss before closing at the Seminoles.

Oklahoma

Oklahoma Sooners linebacker Danny Stutsman during a play on defense during a college football game.

Projected wins: 7.5

Our pick: Under. A brutal debut schedule for the Sooners in the SEC, who should go 4-0 against non-con teams Houston, Temple, Tulane, and Maine. Auburn and South Carolina look like wins right now, but OU would have to beat either Texas, Ole Miss, Missouri, Tennessee, Alabama, or LSU to get to 7. 

South Carolina

South Carolina Gamecocks head coach Shane Beamer on the sideline during a college football game in the SEC.

Projected wins: 5.5

Our pick: Over. Coming off a five-win season and looking at a lot of roster turnover, the Gamecocks will be tested early by LSU at home and road dates at Alabama and Oklahoma, and need at least three SEC victories to go over with a more heavily favored Clemson in the finale.

Auburn

Auburn Tigers tailback Jarquez Hunter on a rushing attempt during a college football game in the SEC.

Projected wins: 7.5

Our pick: Under. Hugh Freeze has five straight games at home to build this offense into something respectable, but one of those matchups includes Oklahoma before road dates against Georgia, Missouri, and Kentucky. Auburn needs an upset or two to make 8 wins against this schedule.

Texas A&M

Texas A&M Aggies wide receiver Noah Thomas catches a pass during a college football game in the SEC.

Projected wins: 8.5

Our pick: Under. Wins against Notre Dame and Florida early on would be hugely important for first-year coach Mike Elko. Auburn is the other big road game, in all a pretty winnable slate with the biggest games coming at home for the Aggies. Right now, we see 7 wins.

Ole Miss

Ole Miss Rebels quarterback Jaxson Dart attempts a pass during a college football game in the SEC.

Projected wins: 9.5

Our pick: Over. Lane Kiffin did some more serious work in the transfer portal, especially on defense, putting the Rebels squarely in the 12-team playoff picture. Alabama isn't on the schedule, but Georgia and Oklahoma are major home dates, as is a test at LSU.

Tennessee

Tennessee Volunteers quarterback Nico Iamaleava attempts a pass during a college football game in the SEC.

Projected wins: 8.5

Our pick: Over. Games against Georgia and Alabama are always tough for the Vols, as is the Florida game, but a choice roster led by quarterback Nico Iamaleava should keep this team within striking distance all season, with 8 wins the bare minimum here. A date at OU early on is critical.

LSU

LSU Tigers quarterback Garrett Nussmeier attempts a pass during a college football game in the SEC.

Projected wins: 9.5

Our pick: Under. Defensive improvement are hopefully forthcoming after a sloppy effort last season, and Garrett Nussmeier should keep the offense at least at par, though expect some statistical declines after Jayden Daniels' departure. The road SEC schedule is winnable, as is the non-conference slate.

Texas

Texas Longhorns quarterback Quinn Ewers on a pass attempt during a college football game.

Projected wins: 10.5

Our pick: Over. You can make a credible argument that Texas has the best overall roster in the SEC right now after a successful transfer portal showing and signing a great recruiting class in 2024, all enough to stay in contention for the title all year, but watch for the Week 2 date at Michigan.

Alabama

Alabama Crimson Tide running back Justice Haynes on a rushing attempt during a college football game in the SEC.

Projected wins: 9.5

Our pick: Under. Nick Saban's retirement coincides with one of Alabama's most difficult schedules in recent seasons, going to Wisconsin and hosting Georgia the week after, with a tough late stretch that includes road trips against the Vols, LSU, and Oklahoma.

Georgia

Georgia Bulldogs quarterback Carson Beck attempts a pass during a college football game in the SEC.

Projected wins: 10.5

Our pick: Under. Alabama and Texas are big early games, both on the road, in addition to three other likely ranked teams, opening up against Clemson, going to Ole Miss, and hosting Tennessee. Georgia should be in the College Football Playoff, but it won't be undefeated.

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