Commanders vs. Cowboys Prediction, Best Bets & Odds for 11/23
Thanksgiving Day in the NFL is known to feature NFC East teams, and this year, we have the Washington Commanders traveling to Dallas to take on the Cowboys. It’s going to be one of the toughest tests for Ron Rivera’s guys this year, but we’re here to help you make the most of the matchup by providing our best Commanders vs. Cowboys prediction.
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COMMANDERS VS. COWBOYS PREDICTION: Under 48.5 (-110 at DraftKings)
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Washington Commanders vs. Dallas Cowboys Prediction for Thanksgiving on Thursday, November 23rd
The Commanders have been receiving plenty of flak for providing the New York Giants with two of their three wins this season, and rightfully so. However, Washington seems to have very polarizing trends when it comes to facing NFC East rivals.
For example, they continue to play the Philadelphia Eagles tougher than any other team in the NFL. They ruined their 8-0 start last season, forced overtime in a 34-31 game in Week 4 and narrowly lost in a 38-31 game in Week 8. If they can give arguably the best team in the NFL fits, then they can certainly do the same against a Cowboys team that was upset by the Arizona Cardinals earlier this year.
However, rather than sweating out that upset, our best Commanders vs. Cowboys prediction is focused on the over/under.
Commanders vs. Cowboys Best Bets & Free Picks
When it comes to attacking the total, we’re going to focus on a low-scoring game. As much attention is given to Dallas QB Dak Prescott and WR CeeDee Lamb, it’s their defense that is the more elite unit.
Even without CB Trevon Diggs, the Cowboys are allowing the third-fewest passing yards per game, and there’s never been a week for that to be more important. Washington QB Sam Howell has the most passing yards in the entire NFL (3,038), but we can’t expect another 350+ yard performance on Thanksgiving.
As for the Commanders, we certainly don’t love that they traded away their top two pass rushers at the trade deadline. However, they still held Dallas to just six points when these teams last met, and each of the last two games between these rivals have ended with just 32 and 35 points.
On top of that, the Cowboys defense has allowed more than 20 points just once in the past five games, and that was to the Eagles. Therefore, we’re confident making our best Commanders vs. Cowboys prediction Under 48.5 (-110 at DraftKings).
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Commanders vs. Cowboys Betting Odds & Lines at DraftKings Sportsbook for Thanksgiving on Thursday, November 23rd, 2023
Let’s take a look at the Commanders vs. Cowboys odds at DraftKings Sportsbook as well. Based on what you see below, a $110 bet on our Commanders vs. Cowboys prediction profits $100 as long as the game ends with 48 points or fewer.
Point Spread:
- Washington Commanders +11 (-110) vs. Dallas Cowboys -11 (-110)
Money Line:
- Washington Commanders (+455) vs. Dallas Cowboys (-625)
Game Total (Over/Under):
- Over 48.5 (-110) vs. Under 48.5 (-110)
Commanders Injury Report for Thanksgiving vs. Dallas
Finally, let’s round out our Commanders vs. Cowboys prediction by taking a look at the injury report for Washington following Monday's practice:
- Did Not Participate:
- FB Alex Armah (Hamstring)
- CB Emmanuel Forbes Jr. (Elbow)
- LB De'Jon Harris (Quad)
- DL Efe Obada (Tibia/Fibula)
- DE James Smith-Williams (Hamstring)
- Limited:
- G Sam Cosmi (Chest)
- RB Antonio Gibson (Toe)
- DB Jartavius Martin (Shoulder)
- Full Participant:
- LB Cody Barton (Ankle)
- WR Curtis Samuel (Toe)
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