NHL Draft: Which teams have been striking gold with depth picks
So, you're hearing your favorite team found the next Milan Lucic in the third round or snagged the steal of the draft with an offensive spark plug in the sixth. It's just a matter of time now before these fortuitous picks are part of a team that brings Stanley Cup glory to your town.
Not so fast, Bub.
Sure, there are gems to be found in rounds 3-7 and it's likely that more than a couple were stockpiled for the future this past weekend in Philadelphia. But unless you're a fan of Columbus or Nashville or Los Angeles, you might want to refrain from planning the parade route just yet.
There's a reason why players slip down to the late rounds. Maybe they're not big enough or there's problem with their skating or they don't have the hockey sense to match their talent. Separating the ones that catch your eye from the ones that might eventually put it all together is as much about luck as scouting skill, but some franchises seem to have an edge over others in identifying that latent talent.
Who are those teams?
To find out who has been doing the best job of mining NHL talent in the deep cuts, we looked at the past nine drafts, dating back to the post-lockout class of 2005. We tabulated the total selections that each team made (from a low of 37 for the Coyotes to a high of 55 by the Blackhawks), the number of players who appeared in at least one NHL game (the Yotes had just four, the Maple Leafs dressed 16), how many appeared in at least 100 games (the Blue Jackets had eight; several teams had zero), and most importantly, the total games played for each organization by late picks (from a woeful 71 for the Canucks up to 2,152 for the Jackets).
We also looked at the scoring production each team got from its late-round selections, even if there's not a clear apples-to-apples comparison to be made. It's worth noting which teams were able to find offensive punch like Jamie Benn (129th overall by the Stars, 2007) while others fired blanks, although that's not the only measure of a successful pick. Getting 300-plus games of energetic fourth line work is tremendous value from a seventh-rounder like Derek Dorsett (189th overall by the Jackets, 2007), even if he has potted just 31 goals during his career. Defensemen like two-time Cup winner Niklas Hjalmarsson (108th by the Blackhawks, 2005) can be valuable and consistent contributors without putting up big numbers.
We also included goalies in the counts because you can't ignore the acumen/luck that went into scouting them even they don't do much for the scoring totals. Jonathan Quick (72nd overall by the Kings, 2005) has produced just eight assists during his career, but his two Stanley Cup rings suggest he was a nice pickup. Ben Bishop (85th by the Blues, 2005), a 2014 Vezina Trophy finalist, was a nice call, too, although he reached elite status with the Lightning after a stop in Ottawa.
What does all this reveal? Well, Vancouver's scouting, by any standards, has been an "Ender's Game"-scale disaster. Of course, that's not news to the team's fans, who have long believed that anyone could have done a better job than former director of amateur scouting Ron Delorme. Looking at these results, they're probably right.
Edmonton, Florida, Winnipeg and Calgary haven't done themselves any favors, either. The inability to identify deep talent has kept them buried near the bottom of the standings for years.
On the other end of the scale are teams like the Jackets and the Predators. While their drafting prowess hasn't translated into playoff success yet, it has allowed them to stay competitive despite lower payrolls.
And the Kings? They don't win those two Cups without late-round support pieces Alec Martinez (95th, 2007) and Dwight King (109th, 2007) and, of course, Quick.
The draft may be a crapshoot, but it's clear that some teams have better aim than others after the first two rounds, where the low-hanging fruit is found.
team | picks | played in nhl | total games | points | best pick |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ducks | 41 | 8 (19.5 percent) 2 played 100 or more games | 556 | 65-92-157 | Matt Belesky, #112 (2006): Finished season on team's top line. |
Coyotes | 37 | 4 (10.8 percent) 2 played 100 or more games | 742 | 92-237-329 | Keith Yandle, #105 (2005): Top two defenseman |
Bruins | 40 | 11 (27.5 percent) 2 played 100 or more games | 722 | 130-185-315 | Brad Marchand, #71 (2006): Three-time 20-goal scorer |
Sabres | 50 | 9 (18 percent) 3 played 100 or more games | 1,049 | 93-210-303 | Chris Butler, #96 (2005): Closing in on 400 games as depth defender |
Flames | 46 | 10 (21.7 percent) 3 played 100 or more games | 516 | 21-81-102 | T.J. Brodie, #114 (2008): Averaged 24:03 TOI last season, second on team |
Hurricanes | 42 | 7 (16.7 percent) 0 played 100 or more games | 305 | 18-29-47 | Drayson Bowman, #72 (2007): Yo-yo player may have run out of chances with 'Canes |
Blackhawks | 55 | 7 (12.7 percent) 3 played 100 or more games | 875 | 94-165-259 | Niklas Hjalmarsson , #108 (2005): Steady top four d-man nearing 400 games |
Avalanche | 41 | 11 (26.8 percent) 3 played 100 or more games | 608 | 58-120-178 | Tyson Barrie, #64 (2009): Prototypical puck-mover shows real promise |
Blue Jackets | 48 | 14 (29.1 percent) 8 played 100 or more games | 2,152 | 175-281-456 | Matt Calvert, #127 (2008): Heart and soul of new Jackets |
Stars | 40 | 12 (30 percent) 5 played 100 or more games | 1,166 | 192-268-460 | Jamie Benn, #129 (2007): NHL 1st team All-Star at LW for 2013-14 |
Red Wings | 46 | 10 (21.7 percent) 2 played 100 or more games | 603 | 94-109-203 | Gustav Nyquist, #121 (2008): First-year forward showed off first-line potential |
Oilers | 40 | 8 (20 percent) 1 played 100 or more games | 400 | 22-52-74 | Theo Peckham, #75 (2006): Hard-nosed defender enjoyed one year as NHL regular |
Panthers | 49 | 9 (18.4 percent) 0 played 100 or more games | 197 | 17-33-50 | Vince Trocheck, #64 (2011): His 2013-14 debut hinted at possible top-six role |
Kings | 51 | 9 (17.6 percent) 5 played 100 or more games | 1,042 | 79-112-191 | Jonathan Quick, # 72 (2005): Two Cup rings and a Conn Smythe. Boom. |
Wild | 39 | 8 (20.5 percent) 2 played 100 or more games | 689 | 85-83-168 | Cal Clutterbuck, # 72 (2006): More than 400 games as a premier agitator |
Canadiens | 43 | 7 (16.3 percent) 5 played 100 or more games | 1,1223 | 170-244-414 | Brendan Gallagher, #147 (2005): Spark plug for their offense. |
Predators | 53 | 15 (28.3 percent) 5 played 100 or more games | 1,388 | 222-355-577 | Patric Hornqvist, #230 (2005): Four seasons of at least 20 goals |
Devils | 45 | 10 (22.2 percent) 4 played 100 or more games | 1,077 | 120-171-291 | Adam Henrique, #82 (2008): Top-six forward, playoff hero |
Islanders | 54 | 15 (27.7 percent) 4 played 100 or more games | 1,191 | 89-218-307 | Andrew MacDonald, #160 (2006): Top-pair defender dealt to Philly at deadline |
Rangers | 41 | 9 (21.9 percent) 3 played 100 or more games | 809 | 91-120-211 | Carl Hagelin, #168 (2007). Top-six forward entering prime years |
Senators | 49 | 13 (26.5 percent) 3 played 100 or more games | 1,119 | 122-165-287 | Colin Greening, #204 (2005). Useful depth forward |
Flyers | 46 | 13 (28.3 percent) 1 played 100 or more games | 495 | 42-55-97 | Zac Rinaldo, #178 (2008): Presented without comment |
Penguins | 42 | 12 (28.6 percent) 4 played 100 or more games | 1,093 | 104-279-383 | Kris Letang, #62, (2005). One of the game's premier offensive d-men |
Sharks | 47 | 11 (23.4 percent) 6 played 100 or more games | 1,195 | 93-224-317 | Jason Demers, #186 (2008). Top-four defender |
Blues | 44 | 8 (18.2 percent) 2 played in 100 or more games | 418 | 14-22-36 | Ben Bishop, #85 (2005). Vezina finalist in 2013-14 |
Lightning | 49 | 10 (20.4 percent) 3 played in 100 or more games | 668 | 71-125-196 | Ondrej Palat, #208 (2011). Calder finalist could become top-line winger |
Maple Leafs | 47 | 16 (34 percent) 5 played in 100 or more games | 1,403 | 121-258-379 | Anton Stralman, #216 (2005). Top-four defenseman nearing 400th career game |
Canucks | 40 | 5 (12.5 percent) 0 played in 100 or more games | 71 | 4-7-11 | Frankie Corrado, #150 (2011). Blueliner is just potential at this point, but the best of a bad lot |
Capitals | 45 | 9 (20 percent) 4 played in 100 or more games | 726 | 94-139-233 | Cody Eakin, #85 (2009). Developing into aggressive third center in Dallas |
Jets | 50 | 9 (18 percent) 0 played in 100 or more games | 135 | 11-23-34 | Paul Postma, #205 (2007). Hard to believe this team struggles to make playoffs |