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TCU-Texas Week 11 College Football Odds, Lines, Spread and Bet
Saturday’s biggest game takes place in Austin, Texas when TCU puts its undefeated record on the line at Texas.
The fourth-ranked Horned Frogs are 4-0 against ranked teams this season but are seven-point underdogs against the 18th-ranked Longhorns. This game has large national title ramifications with TCU hoping to remain perfect.
Texas is coming off a road win against Kansas State and lost its only previous home game against a ranked foe in September against then-No. 1 Alabama.
Let’s dive into this game for one of this week’s Forde Four bets. You can also find picks for Alabama-Ole Miss, Boise State-Nevada and Florida State-Syracuse.
TCU vs. Texas Odds
Spread: TCU +7 (-110) | Texas -7 (-118)
Moneyline: TCU (+200) | TEX (-300)
Total: 64.5 - Over (-118) | Under (-110)
Game Info: Saturday, Nov. 12 | 7:30 p.m. ET | ABC
TCU Straight-Up Record: 9-0
TCU Against The Spread Record: 7-1-1
Texas Straight-Up Record: 6-3
Texas Against The Spread Record: 6-3
Bet on TCU-Texas at SI Sportsbook
Some of the power ranking algorithms are not onboard with the Horned Frogs, who have made a habit of comeback victories and now face their biggest test to date. (The Sagarin Ratings, for instance, have them 13th in the nation.) But even factoring in the presence of former TCU coach Gary Patterson on the Texas staff, favoring the Longhorns by a full touchdown seems like a lot.
TCU has the most productive offense in the Big 12 and has scored at least 34 points in every game. Quinn Ewers may be the future in the state of Texas when it comes to quarterback play, but Max Duggan is the present. Specifically, he’s better at avoiding mistakes, throwing just one interception every 122 passes, compared to Ewers throwing one every 35 passes. In a close matchup with a larger-than-expected spread, give me the quarterback (and the team) less likely to turn the ball over.
BET: TCU +7 (-110)
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Check the Latest Odds from SI Sportsbook
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Pat Forde is a senior writer for Sports Illustrated who covers college football and college basketball as well as the Olympics and horse racing. He cohosts the College Football Enquirer podcast and is a football analyst on the Big Ten Network. He previously worked for Yahoo Sports, ESPN and The (Louisville) Courier-Journal. Forde has won 28 Associated Press Sports Editors writing contest awards, has been published three times in the Best American Sports Writing book series, and was nominated for the 1990 Pulitzer Prize. A past president of the U.S. Basketball Writers Association and member of the Football Writers Association of America, he lives in Louisville with his wife. They have three children, all of whom were collegiate swimmers.