Week 11 Player Props to Target

Target these seven player props for Week 11, including three sets of teammates.

If you’d like to get in on the action at SI Sportsbook for Week 11, here are a few player props I’ve identified that are worth considering.

Two mobile quarterbacks make the list today, but we are taking a passing prop for plus-money for one of them, while betting on a rushing prop for the other.

And, once again, I am targeting the Texans’ run defense. They have been atrocious and continue to gift us player prop value every week.

The game with the third-highest implied points total of the week also offers some good value. You’ll see a few props on the Cowboys below in what could end up being the game of the week against the Vikings in Minnesota!

Here are the seven player props I believe are presenting early value.

Brad Penner-USA TODAY Sports

Justin Fields over 1.5 passing touchdowns (+185)

Justin Fields has two or more passing touchdowns in each of his last three contests, and maybe it has to stop eventually, but I wouldn’t bet on it stopping this week. I love this plus-money payout vs. an Atlanta team that has allowed the most passing yards and 15 passing touchdowns. Fields has found a special connection with Cole Kmet as of late, and I’m betting the Falcons will be so worried about stopping the run that Fields will have even more opportunities through the air.

Daniel Jones over 34.5 rushing yards (-120)

Daniel Jones has the fourth-most rushing yards among quarterbacks this year, behind only Lamar Jackson, Fields and Josh Allen, and averages 43 rushing yards per game. The Lions surrendered 147 rushing yards last week to Fields, and they yielded 90 to Jalen Hurts in Week 1 (who has less rushing yards than Jones).

Saquon Barkley over 97.5 rushing yards (-120)

Saquon Barkley crushed his player prop for us last week, and we are going back to the well. Barkley gets the league’s second-worst run defense this week in Detroit after shredding the Texans last week for 152 rushing yards. Detroit is allowing running backs an average of 161 yards per game, and Barkley is a true bell cow.

Brian Robinson over 63.5 rushing yards (-120)
Antonio Gibson over 46.5 rushing yards (-125)

Both Commanders gunning backs exceed their props on Sunday versus Houston team that is allowing a whopping 182 rushing yards per game this year. Ron Rivera’s team ran the ball 49 times and found success versus the Eagles, and I don’t see him changing the game plan versus the league’s worst run defense that has allowed a league-leading 13 rushing touchdowns. Brian Robinson carried the ball 26 times on Monday for 86 yards versus a much tougher Eagles’ run defense, while Antonio Gibson carried the ball 14 times for 44 yards. The Texans allowed an average of 5.47 yards per carry, so even if Robinson and Gibson split evenly and each have 12 carries, they should both exceed this prop.

CeeDee Lamb over 75.5 receiving yards (-120)

CeeDee Lamb went off last week, catching 11 of 15 targets for 150 yards and two touchdowns. Lamb is the clear WR1 in Dallas, commanding a league-leading 32.1% of his team’s targets as well as 39.5% of the team’s target air yards (fourth). This week, he faces off with a Vikings’ secondary that has allowed the third-most receiving yards and the fifth-best catch rate (67.9%) to wideouts this year.

Dalton Schultz over 41.5 receiving yards (-125)

Dalton Schultz is Dallas’s No. 2 receiver now that he’s healthy and Dak Prescott is back under center. Schultz has exceeded this prop in each of the four games he has played with Prescott. Schultz has seen 20 targets across the last three contests, and the Vikings allow 8.19 yards per target and a 72.7% catch rate to tight ends. 

Enter SI Sportsbook’s Free Perfect 10 Contest for a Shot at $10,000!

Get fantasy and betting analysis in your inbox by signing up for the Winners Club newsletter

Check the Latest Odds from SI Sportsbook

More Betting, Fantasy and NFL:
• Week 11 Best Bets
• World Cup Odds
• World Cup Golden Boot Odds
• Week 11 Start ’Em, Sit ’Em: RB
• NFL Week 11 Preview