MLB Best Bets: Celebrating the Return of Jose Altuve to the Astros

Altuve is one of several reasons to like Houston against last-place Oakland.
MLB Best Bets: Celebrating the Return of Jose Altuve to the Astros
MLB Best Bets: Celebrating the Return of Jose Altuve to the Astros /

The reigning World Series champion Houston Astros host the last-place Oakland Athletics and everything about it points to the Astros as the rightful heavy favorites.

Houston’s run differential is +31. Oakland’s is -161.

Houston is on a four-game win streak looking to make it five at home tonight.

Houston’s starter, Brandon Bielak, has an ERA of 3.29. Oakland’s starter, lefty Ken Waldichuk, has an ERA of 7.02

Houston boasts star players such as Yordan AlvarezKyle Tucker and Alex Bregman. Perhaps most importantly, Jose Altuve makes his season debut tonight, back in action after suffering an injury during the World Baseball Classic. Altuve dominates southpaws, and will return to the leadoff spot. In 2022, the second baseman hit .340 with 10 homers, 21 RBIs and an OPS of 1.086 vs. left-handed pitching. He’ll be expected to start the hit parade for Houston, and I’m considering a fun bet that pays +120 for Altuve to go over 2.5 hits, runs or RBIs.

Houston Astros second baseman Jose Altuve
Jerome Miron/USA Today Sports

Oakland has Brent Rooker. End of list.

Houston has won 23 of the last 38 matchups between these two teams. Houston has also covered the run line in six of the last seven matchups.

So, yes. We will take Houston to win this and cover the run line at -118.

Once again, I am also interested in the value for over for this game at +100.

The Astros have scored 81 runs in the seventh inning or later this season, which is second only to the Dodgers. What’s even better? They are matching up with the Oakland bullpen that has allowed the most runs in the league with an ERA of 6.62.

The Bet: Astros -125 | Over 9.5 


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Jennifer Piacenti
JENNIFER PIACENTI

Jennifer Piacenti is a fantasy sports and betting analyst for Sports Illustrated. She serves as a host for Sirius XM Fantasy Sports Radio and has her own podcast, “Waiver Wired,” on the Extra Points podcast network. Piacenti is also a featured expert on MLB Network’s “Bettor’s Eye” and is a member of the esteemed Tout Wars, the fantasy baseball battle of the experts. She is a member of the Fantasy Sports Writers Association and is a 2020 Scott Fish Bowl finalist.