Buccaneers vs. Bills Player Props and Predictions for ‘Thursday Night Football’

Buffalo looks to bounce back after an upset loss to the Patriots, and two of its offensive players can hit their props along the way.
Buccaneers vs. Bills Player Props and Predictions for ‘Thursday Night Football’
Buccaneers vs. Bills Player Props and Predictions for ‘Thursday Night Football’ /

The Bills are favored by 8.5 vs. the Buccaneers for this week’s Thursday Night Football game. Despite being upset by the Patriots on Sunday, SI Sportsbook still believes the Bills will win by a large margin. Perhaps some of that advantage has to do with the fact that Baker Mayfield popped up on the injury report early in the week. Though most expect Baker to play, we don’t have many player props for the Buccaneers as of Wednesday morning. However, there are still a few early values I like in this primetime game.

Dalton Kincaid over 36.5 receiving yards (-120)

Kincaid led all Bills receivers on Sunday with 75 yards and saw a season-high eight targets. With news that Dawson Knox will be having wrist surgery, Kincaid should pick up some extra routes on Thursday. The Buccaneers have allowed an average of 45 receiving yards per game to tight ends this season.

Gabe Davis longest reception over 20.5 (-110)

Lon Horwedel-USA TODAY Sports

Davis is the deep threat for Buffalo and he’s exceeded this prop in five of seven games played this season, though he has missed it in his last two. Guess what else the last two games also had in common? Buffalo lost one and nearly lost the other. If they want to get back on track, I’d like to see a deep ball or two to Davis. Maybe this is wishful thinking, but I believe Allen will want to be aggressive in a get-right game on Thursday. In five out of six games played, the Bucs have allowed at least two receivers per game a gain of 20-plus yards. 

Rachaad White under 49.5 rushing yards (-110)

Let’s face it: Rachaad White has been underwhelming this season. He’s averaging only 3.2 yards per attempt, and he’s only exceeded this prop twice this season -- one of those times was vs. the Bears. The Bills are allowing an average of 100 yards per game to opposing runners, but with Chase Edmonds practicing in full on Monday, the Bucs may have one more running back to rotate in if White gets off to a tough start. Add that to the fact that the Bills are favored by 8.5, and White will likely be out of the game script.


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Jennifer Piacenti
JENNIFER PIACENTI

Jennifer Piacenti is a fantasy sports and betting analyst for Sports Illustrated. She serves as a host for Sirius XM Fantasy Sports Radio and has her own podcast, “Waiver Wired,” on the Extra Points podcast network. Piacenti is also a featured expert on MLB Network’s “Bettor’s Eye” and is a member of the esteemed Tout Wars, the fantasy baseball battle of the experts. She is a member of the Fantasy Sports Writers Association and is a 2020 Scott Fish Bowl finalist.