Saints vs. Rams Player Prop Predictions and Best Bets for Thursday Night Football

The NFL action in Week 16 gets started in Los Angeles with a showdown between Matthew Stafford, Derek Carr, and the rest of the Rams and Saints playmakers

Derek Carr and the Saints (7-7) head to SOFI Stadium in Los Angeles to take on Matt Stafford and the Rams (7-7) for this week’s Thursday Night Football game. The Rams are in the hunt for a playoff berth while the Saints are fighting for a shot at the NFC South title. SI sportsbook currently has the home team favored by -4 and the game total is set at 45.5.

Here are some early player prop values to target for Thursday night’s tilt.

Derek Carr Player Props Week 16

Carr has throw at least two touchdowns in each of his last two games :: Brett Davis/USA TODAY Sports

Best Bet: Derek Carr over 1.5 passing touchdowns (+134)

If you know me, you know I love a good plus-money bet. Carr has thrown two or more touchdowns in each of his last two games, despite playing with a host of possible injuries. Chris Olave may be back, too. That has me optimistic that the Saints will score a pair through the air vs. a Rams team that has allowed a league-worst nine passing touchdowns across the past four games. If we go back even further, the Rams have allowed 15 passing touchdowns in the past seven games. Anyway you slice it, it looks like good value.

Tyler Higbee Player Props Week 16

Best Bet: Tyler Higbee over 2.5 receptions (+142)

I am all in on the Higbee catch prop with this payout. Not only have the Saints allowed an average of six catches per game to tight ends across the last seven contests, Higbee has exceeded this prop in two of his last three. Higbee has averaged more than 4.5 targets per game this season, so at almost 1.5 times payout, I’ll give it a spin. 

Kyren Williams Player Props Week 16

Kyren Williams looks to continue his string of strong performances as the Rams take on the Saints in Week 16 / Alex Gallardo-USA TODAY Sports

Kyren Williams over 88.5 rushing yards (-125)

Yes, this number is awfully high, but I’m not shying away as no team has allowed more rushing yards across the past four contests than the New Orleans Saints, who have allowed an average of 126 yards per game- including 161 rushing yards to Chubba Hubbard and Miles Sanders in Week 14. Despite a couple of fumbles on Sunday, Williams should remain the lead back for Los Angeles after rushing for triple-digits in three of the last four contests. He’s averaging 5.1 yards per carry this season, and he has double-digit carries in every game played this year, for an average of nearly 19 attempts per game.

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