Scottie Scheffler's Odds to Win Grand Slam Drop Massively After Latest Win

Brian Giuffra | Apr 22, 2024

Scottie Scheffler. / Aaron Doster-USA TODAY Sports

Scottie Scheffler has entered a stratosphere of domination only the likes of Tiger Woods has existed on before. He’s won four out of five tournaments, including the Masters, and it seems whatever expectations the golf world heaps upon him, he reaches or exceeds.

Sportsbook oddsmakers are putting that to the test. 

After winning the Masters, Scheffler was given +7500 odds at FanDuel Sportsbook to win the Grand Slam this season, a feat never accomplished in one calendar year. After winning the RBC Heritage on Monday, his odds have dropped all the way down to +4600. 

To put that in perspective, those are the same odds Matt Fitzpatrick, a major champion and 12th-ranked player in the world, has to win just the PGA Championship (+7500).

Scheffler would have to win the PGA Championship, U.S. Open and British Open to win the Grand Slam and cash this bet.

Don't count on it happening.

The implied probability of a +4600 odds bet winning is 2.1%. That’s better than the 1.3% chance oddsmakers gave him with +7500 odds, but it’s still a massive longshot. 

No player in modern golf history has won all four majors in the same season. Woods won four in a row, but that came over two seasons. 

Scheffler has had seven Top 10 finishes in 10 appearances at the PGA Championship, U.S. Open, and British Open, but he’s finished outside the Top 20 in the last two British Opens. He's also never won a PGA Tour or major tournament outside the months of December through April.

That's not to say he won’t win another major or break his winless streak outside those months this year. It would be a surprise if he didn't. FanDuel has him set at +350 odds to win the PGA Championship and the next closest player in the odds is Rory McIlroyat +1100 odds.

Clearly, oddsmakers believe Scheffler is a big step in front of the competition right now. 

But winning all four majors in one season seems unfathomable, even for a player on a heater like Scheffler, who’s won the Arnold Palmer, Players, Masters and the RBC Heritage over the last two months with a second-place finish at the Texas Open in between.

The fact that Scheffler’s odds of winning the Grand Slam have moved so dramatically is noteworthy, but not bet-worthy. Better to save your money and see how he plays in the lead-up to the PGA Championship and bet him there because winning the Grand Slam seems beyond even the wildest of expectations, even for Scheffler. 

Odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

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