Arizona State vs. Kansas State Prediction, Odds and Key Players to Watch for College Football Week 12

Reed Wallach | Nov 13, 2024

Arizona State Sun Devils running back Cam Skattebo (4) runs for a touchdown as Oklahoma State Cowboys safety Kobe Hylton (0) defends in the second half of the college football game between the Oklahoma State Cowboys and the Arizona State Sun Devils at Boone Pickens Stadium in Stillwater, Oklahoma on Saturday, Nov. 2, 2024. / SARAH PHIPPS/THE OKLAHOMAN / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images

Who can stay alive in the Big 12 title race between Arizona State and Kansas State?

The Sun Devils have been one of the biggest surprises in college football this season, and are fresh off a win at home without its best player, running back Cam Skattebo. Arizona State has been improved under head coach Kenny Dillingham, can the team boast another upset win against Kansas State?

The Wildcats had a BYE last week but will look to shake off a road loss in its last game against Houston.

Can Kansas State cover a big spread against a conference contender?

Here’s our full betting preview.

Arizona State vs. Kansas State Odds, Spread and Total

Spread

Arizona State: +8.5 (-110)
Kansas State: -8.5 (-110)

Moneyline

Arizona State: +250
Kansas State: -315

Total: 49.5 (Over -114/Under -106)

Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook

Arizona State vs. Kansas State How to Watch

Date: Saturday, November 16th
Game Time: 7:00 PM EST
Venue: Bill Snyder Family Stadium
How to Watch (TV): ESPN
Arizona State Record: 7-2
Kansas State Record: 7-2

Arizona State vs. Kansas State Key Players to Watch

Arizona State

Cam Skattebo: Skattebo is set to resume from a shoulder injury that cost him one game, but the Sun Devils were able to knock off UCF at home. This test will be far harder against a sturdy Kansas State defense that is top 20 in both EPA/Rush and yards per carry. On the season, Skattebo has run for 1,0001 yards with 11 rushing touchdowns, averaging nearly six yards per carry.

Kansas State

Avery Johnson: The dual-threat quarterback has been up-and-down this season, but can’t be overlooked given his ability to rip off chunk gains on the ground. Johnson has been prone to suspect decisions through the air, tossing seven interceptions, but he has 21 total touchdowns on the season as the K-State offense is a top 25 unit in EPA/Play.

Arizona State vs. Kansas State Prediction and Pick

As outlined in First to Forde, I like the Sun Devils to cover the spread in this Big 12 elimination game.

Arizona State continues to be one of the great bets in college football this season, 7-2 against the number on the season, while Kansas State continues to be an overrated outfit in a crowded Big 12.

While the Sun Devils were fortunate to pull out a win against UCF at home last week, needing a pair of defense and special team scores to stay in the conference title race, the team did so without its lead running back Cam Skattebo, who is questionable for this one.

Skattebo helps, but this is an Arizona State team that should be able to test a shaky Kansas State pass defense that is below average in coverage grading and outside the top 100 in pass rush grading, per Pro Football Focus.

Sam Leavitt continues to keep the ball out of harm's way, he has three turnover-worthy plays on the season, and if the team gets Skattebo back, he can be live for an upset against a Kansas State team that has been overrated for much of this season.

Further, don’t sleep on Avery Johnson, who continues to be shaky as a passer. The ASU defense is elite against the run, top 25 in EPA/Rush. If the team forces obvious passing situations for Johnson, this game can be tight throughout.

PICK: Arizona State +8.5