Best College Football Prop Bets for Duke vs. Miami (Florida) in Week 10

Reed Wallach | 10 Hours Ago

Oct 19, 2024; Louisville, Kentucky, USA; Miami Hurricanes wide receiver Xavier Restrepo (7) runs the ball against the Louisville Cardinals during the first half at L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium. Miami defeated Louisville 52-45. Mandatory Credit: Jamie Rhodes-Imagn Images / Jamie Rhodes-Imagn Images

Miami's College Football Playoff hopes remain alive and well as the team hosts Duke in Week 10 action.

The undefeated Hurricanes' had its most subdued offensive output of the season last week, but with a matchup against Duke on Saturday, should we buy the discounts on star plays like Xavier Restrepo?

We analyze both Miami and Duke's pass catching group as spots of value for this Week 10 ACC showdown.

Best Prop Bets for Duke vs. Miami (Florida)

Xavier Restrepo OVER 76.5 Receiving Yards
Eli Pancol OVER 45.5 Receiving Yards

Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook.

Xavier Restrepo OVER 76.5 Receiving Yards

It was an uncharacteristic outing for Restrepo in Week 9 against Florida State, only catching four passes for 24 yards. It was the lowest output of the season for the star pass catcher, and his receiving yard prop is down about 14 yards to last week.

That’s an overreaction.

Prior to last week’s quiet game, a blowout win against Florida State, Restrepo went over this mark in five of seven games, including over 100 yards in four games.

The senior wide receiver has at least five targets in every game, and with a fast-paced Duke offense on the other side, we may see extra possessions from Miami as the team looks to get its passing game going again after its lowest output of the season in Week 9.

Eli Pancol OVER 45.5 Receiving Yards

Pancol’s usage has gone up all season, garnering at least six targets in four straight games, and fresh off his best outing of the season of 11 catches for 138 yards.

While this receiving yard total is on the rise, it’s still stating a median outcome for Pancol over the balance of the season. He has gone over this number in four out of eight games, but given the likely negative game script as nearly three touchdown underdogs, I expect Duke to force it through the air.

Miami has an average pass defense, 36th in coverage grading according to Pro Football Focus and 90th in explosive pass defense. At 6’3”, Pancol can rip off a few chunk plays and with the increase in targets, in line to get over this average mark after a monster game in Week 9.

Best Prop Bets for Duke vs. Miami (Florida)

Xavier Restrepo OVER 76.5 Receiving Yards

Eli Pancol OVER 45.5 Receiving Yards

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