Best College Football Prop Bets for Kansas State vs. Iowa State in Week 14

Nov 16, 2024; Manhattan, Kansas, USA; Kansas State Wildcats quarterback Avery Johnson (2) waits for the snap during the second quarter against the Arizona State Sun Devils at Bill Snyder Family Football Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Scott Sewell-Imagn Images
Nov 16, 2024; Manhattan, Kansas, USA; Kansas State Wildcats quarterback Avery Johnson (2) waits for the snap during the second quarter against the Arizona State Sun Devils at Bill Snyder Family Football Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Scott Sewell-Imagn Images / Scott Sewell-Imagn Images

Kansas State and Iowa State meet in its annual rivalry game, dubbed “Farmageddon.” 

There’s plenty on the line in this one with Iowa State trying to lock up a spot in the Big 12 Championship Game, but Kansas State may be peaking at the right time now that Avery Johnson appears to be at full strength. 

Find out how I’m backing Johnson in the player prop market ahead of this rivalry game showdown. 

Best College Football Prop Bets for Kansas State vs. Iowa State In Week 14

  • Avery Johnson OVER 44.5 Rushing Yards
  • Jaylin Noel OVER 63.5 Receiving Yards

Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook

Avery Johnson OVER 44.5 Rushing Yards

Kansas State cut Johnson loose against Cincinnati as the quarterback ran for 72 yards on 10 carries and I see the team continuing to lean on its dual-threat quarterback yet again against a vulnerable Iowa State rush defense. 

The Cyclones don’t get much pressure, 123rd in sacks, and is 112th in yards per carry allowed. Johnson should be able to pick up yardage with his legs with relative ease in this one as the Wildcats get back to its roots that saw the team as a Big 12 front runner with Johnson as a rushing weapon. 

Jaylin Noel OVER 63.5 Receiving Yards

Noel has been a big play weapon in the Iowa State offense all season, averaging 16 yards per catch on the year. 

The senior specifically thrives against zone coverage, which Kansas State runs on more than 60% of its snaps on defense. Noel is far better against that defense than man coverage, catching 39 of 48 targets with an absurdly high nearly four yards per route run with 218 yards after catch. 

Kansas State has been shaky defending the pass all season, 77th in EPA/Pass and 115th in explosive pass defense, so I’m counting on Noel to hit a few big plays in the regular season finale. 

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Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

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Reed Wallach
REED WALLACH

Reed is a Senior Editor at SI Betting. He grew up in New Jersey and graduated from the University of Wisconsin. His passion lies with the Brooklyn Nets, but is always hunting for an edge.