Broncos vs. Jets Prediction, Odds, Spread, Injuries, Trends for NFL Week 4

Iain MacMillan | Sep 24, 2024

Sep 19, 2024; East Rutherford, New Jersey, USA; New York Jets tight end Tyler Conklin (83) signals first down after a catch against the New England Patriots during the second quarter at MetLife Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Brad Penner-Imagn Images / Brad Penner-Imagn Images

The Denver Broncos got their first win of the season in Week 3, upsetting the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as touchdown underdogs. They now head to East Rutherford set as significant underdogs once again when they take on the New York Jets.

The Jets have begun to live up to expectations the past few weeks, most recently dominating the New England Patriots on Thursday Night Football last week.

Let's dive into everything you need to know to bet on this Week 4 AFC showdown.

Broncos vs. Jets odds, Spread, and Total

Odds via FanDuel Sportsbook

Spread

• Broncos +7 (-105)
• Jets -7 (-115)

Moneyline

• Broncos +280
• Jets -350

Total

• OVER 38.5 (-115)
• UNDER 38.5 (-105)

Broncos vs. Jets How to Watch

• Date: Sunday, Sept. 29
• Time: 1:00 p.m. EST
• Venue: MetLife Stadium
• How to Watch (TV): CBS
• Broncos record: 1-2
• Jets record: 2-1

Broncos vs. Jets Betting Trends

• The UNDER is 10-5 in the Broncos' last 15 games
• Broncos are 5-15 straight up in their last 20 road games
• Broncos are 1-4 ATS in their last five games vs. AFC East opponents
• Jets are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games
• Jets are 5-15 ATS in their last 20 games played in September

Broncos vs. Jets Injury Reports

Broncos Injury Report

• JL Skinner, S - Questionable

Jets Injury Report

• C.J. Mosley, LB - Questionable

Broncos vs. Jets Key Players to Watch

Denver Broncos

Tyler Badie: The Broncos' run game failed to get going the first two weeks. Javonte Williams and Jaleel McLaughlin are both averaging just 2.2 yards per carry. In comes Tyler Badie in Week 3 against the Buccaneers. He ripped off 70 yards on nine carries and is now averaging 8.6 yards per rush. The Broncos would be smart to get him involved in this game more as the season progresses.

New York Jets

Breece Hall: The Jets' running back has been an unbelievable receiver out of the backfield, but to be a more complete team New York needs to get its run game going. He's averaging only 3.7 yards per carry so far this season. Unless he wants Braelon Allen to take over primary running responsibilities, Hall needs to get things going.

Broncos vs. Jets Prediction and Pick

I broke down in this week's edition of the "Road to 272 Bets" why I'm taking the points with the Broncos in this one:

The Broncos may end up being the team I believe in all season no matter how often they lost and their Week 3 win against the Buccaneers has only emboldened me.

My faith in them comes down to their defense, which ranks second in the NFL right now in opponent yards per play, giving up only 4.5 yards per snap. They're also third in opponent yards per pass attempt allowing just 5.1 yards per throw, which will be huge going against an Aaron Rodgers-led offense. Add in a pass rush that has recorded a sack on 12.36% of opponent dropbacks and we have a recipe for a close game between these two AFC squads.

I think a touchdown spread is a bit too aggressive in this one. I'll take the points.

Pick: Broncos +7 (-105)

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NFL Week 4 Betting Articles

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You can check out all of Iain's bets here!