Bulls vs. Pacers Prediction, Odds and Best NBA Prop Bets for Sunday, March 2

The Pacers are 10.5-point favorites at home on Sunday.
The Pacers are 10.5-point favorites at home on Sunday.
The Pacers are 10.5-point favorites at home on Sunday. / Trevor Ruszkowski-Imagn Images

The Indiana Pacers and Chicago Bulls face off for the third time this season on Sunday, as Indiana looks to remain perfect in the season series. 

The Pacers are just 0.5 games out of the No. 4 seed in the Eastern Conference, and they’ve been jockeying with the Milwaukee Bucks for position since the league returned from the All-Star break.

Meanwhile, the Bulls are the No. 10 seed in the East – 2.5 games up on the Philadelphia 76ers – despite losing seven of their last 10 games.

Chicago is down Patrick Williams, Ayo Dosunmu, and Nikola Vucevic on Sunday, leading to oddsmakers setting the Pacers as massive favorites at home.

Here’s a full breakdown of this matchup, including the latest odds, player props to bet, and my prediction for March 2. 

Bulls vs. Pacers Odds, Spread and Total

Odds via DraftKings Sportsbook.

Spread

  • Bulls +10.5 (-108)
  • Pacers -10.5 (-112)

Moneyline

  • Bulls: +390
  • Pacers: -520

Total

  • 242 (Over -112/Under -108)

Bulls vs. Pacers How to Watch

  • Date: Sunday, March 2
  • Time: 5:00 p.m. EST
  • Venue: Gainbridge Fieldhouse
  • How to Watch (TV): Bally Sports Indian, CHSN
  • Bulls record: 24-36
  • Pacers record: 33-25

Bulls vs. Pacers Injury Reports

Bulls Injury Report

  • Lonzo Ball – probable
  • Ayo Dosunmu – out
  • Nikola Vucevic – out
  • Josh Giddey – probable
  • Coby White – probable
  • Kevin Huerter – questionable
  • Emanuel Miller – out
  • EJ Liddell – out
  • Patrick Williams – out
  • Jahmir Young – out

Pacers Injury Report

  • RayJ Dennis – questionable
  • Enrique Freeman – questionable
  • Quenton Jackson – questionable
  • Isaiah Jackson – out
  • Bennedict Mathurin – out

Bulls vs. Pacers Best NBA Prop Bets

Chicago Bulls Best NBA Prop Bet

  • Matas Buzelis UNDER 1.5 3-Pointers Made (-105)

Rookie Matas Buzelis is shooting 34.0 percent from 3-point range this season, and he’s failed to make two or more 3-pointers in seven of his last 10 games, shooting 30.4 percent from deep on 4.6 attempts per game over that stretch. 

Even if he has an expanded role with multiple rotation players out for Indiana. I’m not sold on him clearing this prop against a Pacers defense that ranks eighth in the NBA in opponent 3s made per game. 

Indiana Pacers Best NBA Prop Bet

  • Tyrese Haliburton OVER 10.5 Assists (+100)

Tyrese Haliburton has four straight games with at least 10 assists, and even though his assist numbers are down from last season, he has a terrific matchup on Sunday.

The Bulls are 29th in the NBA in opponent assists per game this season, and Haliburton already has a 13-assist game in the 2024-25 campaign against Chicago.

With the Bulls and Pacers both ranking in the top six in the NBA in pace, this game should have a ton of possessions for Haliburton to set up his teammates against a weak defense. 

Bulls vs. Pacers Prediction and Pick

Earlier today, I shared in my NBA Best Bets column – Peter’s Points – why the Indiana Pacers are a great bet as home favorites: 

This is a great matchup for the Indiana Pacers, as the Chicago Bulls are one of the worst defenses in the NBA and rank 25th in the league in net rating over their last 15 games.

Indiana, on the other hand, is 10th in net rating over that stretch and has a pretty elite uptempo offense that should take advantage of the Bulls playing at a frenetic pace (third in the league) despite Chicago’s lack of talent on the offensive end since the Zach LaVine trade. 

The Pacers have also been solid when favored at home – 10-8-1 against the spread – and they’ve picked up wins by nine and 16 points against Chicago already this season. 

I’ll gladly lay the points here with the Bulls more focused on the draft lottery than making the play-in at this point in the season. 

Pick: Pacers -10.5 (-112 at DraftKings)


Odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

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Find Peter Dewey's NBA betting record here (futures included). You can also follow my daily plays on  BetStamp here.


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Published
Peter Dewey
PETER DEWEY

Peter is a senior editor for Sports Illustrated Betting. He has worked as a writer and editor for BetSided, NBC Sports, the Connecticut Sun and the Meriden Record-Journal covering the NBA, WNBA, NFL, MLB, and more. A New York City resident, he is a hoops fanatic with a soft spot for his New York Knicks.