Caleb Williams Rookie of the Year Odds Collapse Amidst Speculation He Could Be Benched

Iain MacMillan | Nov 11, 2024

Nov 10, 2024; Chicago, Illinois, USA; Chicago Bears quarterback Caleb Williams (18) practices before the game against the New England Patriots at Soldier Field. Mandatory Credit: Mike Dinovo-Imagn Images / Mike Dinovo-Imagn Images

The Chicago Bears have had a disastrous season. They came into the 2024 campaign with high hopes, believing they had the franchise quarterback they've been looking for. Now, though Week 10, they sit at 4-5 and have lost three straight games.

Even with that being the said, nobody expected to see the news that broke on Monday when Adam Schefter reported on the Pat McAfee Show that the Bears are considering benching their No. 1 overall pick, Caleb Williams, in favor of backup Tyson Bagent.

Adam Schefter says the Bears are considering benching Caleb Williams for Tyler Bagent 😳 pic.twitter.com/qdy8wmhoU1

— Kyle (@ImKyleMangum) November 11, 2024

Matt Eberflus was quick to dispel the rumor, but there's clearly something going on in the Bears locker room.

Matt Eberflus says the Bears will not make a change at quarterback. "Caleb is our starter."

— Courtney Cronin (@CourtneyRCronin) November 11, 2024

We've seen time and time again that a coach saying a player is a starter or management saying they won't fire their head coach means little. It's still probably unlikely ahead of their Week 11 game against the Packers, but it's something to keep an eye on moving forward.

Due to both his poor play and these concerning reports, Williams' odds to win Offensive Rookie of the Year have fallen off a cliff compared to where they were preseason.

Caleb Williams Rookie of the Year Odds

• Preseason: +135
• Before Week 10: +2600
• After Week 10: +5000

Odds via FanDuel Sportsbook

If you translate the above odds to implied probability, his chances to win Offensive Rookie of the Year odds have fallen from 42.55% to 1.96% over the course of the first 10 weeks of the 2024 NFL season. Meanwhile, the No. 2 overall pick, Jayden Daniels, is now at -1200 odds, an implied probability of 92.31%.

Williams and the Bears are 6.5-point underdogs to the Packers in Week 11.

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Odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

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