Daily Dinger: Best MLB Home Run Picks Today (Juan Soto, Bobby Witt Jr. Highlight Friday's Sluggers to Bet)

Reed Wallach | Jul 26, 2024

Jul 24, 2024; Bronx, New York, USA; New York Yankees right fielder Juan Soto (22) follows through on a solo home run against the New York Mets during the third inning at Yankee Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Brad Penner-USA TODAY Sports / Brad Penner-USA TODAY Sports

Let's get the weekend started with a home run winner.

Juan Soto and Bobby Witt Jr. are trying to make second-half pushes for AL MVP, and with the way the two are hitting the ball, I expect it to continue on Friday night with favorable matchups on tap.

Meanwhile, can Yusei Kikuchi and a shaky Blue Jays pitching staff be up against it on Friday, leaving opportunities for the likes of long-shot home run hitter Nathaniel Lowe to go deep?

Here's our favorite home run prop bets for Friday's card!

Best Home Run Prop Bets for Friday, July 26th

• Juan Soto (+400)
• Bobby Witt Jr. (+440)
• Nathaniel Lowe (+830)

Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook

Juan Soto

Soto is humming at the plate since the All-Star break, hitting .520 since the mid-summer classic. 

He’s seeing the ball well and has three homers to his name in six games, and I’m going back to the well in Friday’s matchup against the Red Sox from Fenway Park. 

Boston’s home stadium suits lefty sluggers well, and Red Sox starter Brayan Bello struggles against lefties. Bello has allowed 10 home runs to lefties as opposed to five homers to righties, meaning Soto is in line to smash one on Friday. 

Bobby Witt Jr

Another hitter that’s in prime form out of the All-Star break, Witt Jr. is hitting .696, going 16-for-23 since the team’s resumed play. 

Witt is more than capable of generating hard contact and will face soft tossing Kyle Hendricks, who has an xERA of 5.03, bottom 10 percentile in the big leagues. Against a slugger like Witt Jr, who is in the 98th percentile in xSLG, I believe he can tee off on Hendricks and a middling Cubs bullpen. 

Nathaniel Lowe

Friday’s long shot will feature Lowe, a Rangers slugger who is hitting nearly .300 against left-handed pitching (.296) but isn’t known for his power against southpaws. Lowe has two home runs against lefties relative to six against righties but has a higher slugging percentage against left-handed pitching (.407 vs. .392). 

Lowe faces off against a left-hander Kikuchi, but with his reverse splits can be a candidate to go deep early, or later on against a vulnerable Blue Jays bullpen that has the second-highest ERA in the big leagues. 

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Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

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