Every Quarterback's ATS Record in Playoffs (Patrick Mahomes Has Unreal Betting Record)

Iain MacMillan | Jan 14, 2025

Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs will have a first-round BYE in the NFL Playoffs. / Charles LeClaire-Imagn Images

The NFL Playoffs are here!

If you're a bettor like I am, you're diving into every stat possible to try to figure out not only who is going to win Super Bowl 59, but which team will cover the spread in weekly playoff games. One of the most interesting trends to take a look at is how each starting quarterback has fared against the spread throughout the playoffs in their career.

To the surprise of no one, Patrick Mahomes's numbers are fantastic in the postseason. Let's take a look at the career postseason spread record for the remaining quarterbacks.

NFL Playoff Quarterback Spread Records

1. Patrick Mahomes 13-5 ATS (Chiefs -7.5 vs. Texans)
2. C.J. Stroud 2-1 ATS (Texans +7.5 vs. Chiefs)
3. Matthew Stafford 5-4 ATS (Rams +5.5 vs. Eagles)
4. Jared Goff 5-4 ATS (-8.5 vs. Commanders)
5. Jalen Hurts 3-3 ATS (Eagles -5.5 vs. Rams)
6. Lamar Jackson 3-4 ATS (Ravens -1.5 vs. Bills)
7. Josh Allen 4-7 ATS (Bills +1.5 vs. Ravens)
8. Jayden Daniels 1-0 ATS (Commanders +8.5 vs. Lions)

The Chiefs have covered the spread in 72.22% of postseason games since Patrick Mahomes has taken over as quarterback, an almost unheard-of rate for someone who has played in as many playoff games as he has.

Jayden Daniels covered the spread in his first career playoff game, upsetting the Buccaneers as 3-point underdogs. He follows in the footsteps of C.J. Stroud who also covered the spread in his first playoff game last year. Stroud also led the Texans to an upset against the Chargers in this year's postseason.

Lamar Jackson, Jalen Hurts, and Josh Allen all have losing records against the spread in the postseason, but Allen's is the most surprising. At just 43-7, he has not been able to lead the Bills to cover the spread, pointing to a trend of under-performing in the playoffs.

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