Historic Betting Trend Suggest Ravens Will Easily Advance Past Steelers to Divisional Round

Iain MacMillan | 22 Hours Ago

The Ravens are massive favorites to the Steelers in the first round of the NFL Playoffs. / Mitch Stringer-Imagn Images

The Wild-Card Round of the NFL Playoffs is set and what you might have noticed is that the Baltimore Ravens are the biggest favorites of the opening round against the Pittsburgh Steelers.

DraftKings Sportsbook has the Ravens set as 10-point favorites, the only double-digit favorite of the opening round. If you're hesitant to lay that big of a number in a playoff game, let me ease some of those concerns. According to John Ewing, double-digit favorites have had plenty of success in the playoffs in recent years.

Since 2010, double-digit favorites in the NFL Playoffs are 17-1 SU per @Bet_Labs

And 13-5 ATS ✅@Ravens -10 vs. Steelers pic.twitter.com/RGVvM8pa9V

— John Ewing (@johnewing) January 7, 2025

NFL Playoffs Double-Digit Favorites

Here is the history of double-digit favorites in the playoffs dating back to 2010:

DATE	FAVORITE	UNDERDOG	SCORE	ATS RESULT
Jan 20, 2024	SF -10.5	GB	SF 24, GB 21	L
Jan 20, 2024	BAL -10	HOU	BAL 34, HOU 10	W
Jan 15, 2024	BUF -10	PIT	BUF 34, PIT 17	W
Jan 15, 2023	BUF -14	MIA	BUF 34, MIA 31	L
Jan 16, 2022	KC -11.5	PIT	KC 42, PIT 21	W
Jan 10, 2021	NO -11	CHI	CHI 9, NO 21	W
Jan 9, 2021	TB -10	WAS	TB 31, WAS 23	L
Jan 12, 2020	KC -10	HOU	KC 51, HOU 31	W
Jan 11, 2020	BAL -10	TEN	TEN 28, BAL 12	L
Jan 13, 2018	NE -13.5	TEN	NE 35, TEN 14	W
Jan 14, 2017	NE -16.5	HOU	NE 34, HOU 16	W
Jan 8, 2017	PIT -11.5	MIA	PIT 30, MIA 12	W
Jan 10, 2015	SEA -13.5	GB	CAR 17, SEA 31	W
Jan 5, 2013	GB -11	MIN	MIN 10, GB 24	W
Jan 14, 2012	NE -14	DEN	DEN 10, NE 45	W
Jan 7, 2012	NO -10.5	DET	DET 28, NO 45	W
Jan 16, 2011	CHI -10	SEA	SEA 24, CHI 35	W
Jan 8, 2011	NO -10	SEA	NO 36, SEA 41	L

If you look at the table above, you'll see this is a familiar spot for the Steelers. They were 10-point underdogs to the Bills last season and were 11.5-point underdogs to the Steelers two years ago. They failed to be competitive in either game, losing by 17 and 21 points respectively.

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