Monday Night Football Best NFL Prop Bets for Bills vs. Jets in Week 6

Oct 6, 2024; Tottenham, ENG; New York Jets Quarterback Aaron Rodgers (8) in the 3rd Quarter against Minnesota Vikings at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Shaun Brooks-Imagn Images
Oct 6, 2024; Tottenham, ENG; New York Jets Quarterback Aaron Rodgers (8) in the 3rd Quarter against Minnesota Vikings at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Shaun Brooks-Imagn Images / Shaun Brooks-Imagn Images

The Bills take on the Jets at MetLife Stadium for Monday Night Football. 

The Jets will be making their first start since the sudden firing of Robert Saleh on Tuesday.   Jets DC Jeff Ulbrich takes over as interim head coach.  

The game total is set at 41 with the Bills favored by -2.5.

Here are the player props I’ll be playing Monday night. 

Best NFL Player Props for Monday Night Football

Breece Hall over 52.5 rushing yards (-114) at FanDuel

This week’s matchup with the Bills should get Breece Hall back on track after two down weeks.  

The Bills have allowed an average of 109 rushing yards, 6.5 catches and 62 receiving yards per game to opposing runners this season, which includes big games to Derrick Henry, Justice Hill, De’Von Achane, DeeJay Dallas and even Dare Ogumbowale. 

With Aaron Rodgers slightly hobbled, Hall should get plenty of action on Monday. 

Tyler Conklin over 27.5 receiving yards (-115) at DraftKings

Conklin is averaging 36 receiving yards per game this season, and since Week 3, he’s had the teams’ second-highest target share, averaging five targets per game.   

The Bills are not an especially good matchup on paper for tight ends, but he’s seen one more target and tallied more total yards than Allen Lazard across the last three. That’s enough to tell me he’s earned Rodgers’ trust, so I’ll grab this relatively low yardage prop. 

James Cook over 2.5 receptions (+120)
James Cook over 14.5 receiving yards (-120)

I like the payout for this catch prop, as Cook should pick up a few more targets, especially with Shakir quesiotnable for the matchup. The Jets have allowed more than four catches and 30 receiving yards per game to running backs this year, so I'll take on the bit of risk. Cook has seen the same amount of targets this season as Curtis Samuel (13), and his 85% catch-rate is second only to Shakir for the Bills. He's averaged 25 receciving yards per game this season. The riskiest part about this bet is Cook's health, as he has been dealing with turf toe, though he is expected to play.


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Jennifer Piacenti
JENNIFER PIACENTI

Jennifer Piacenti is a fantasy sports and betting analyst for Sports Illustrated. She serves as a host for Sirius XM Fantasy Sports Radio and has her own podcast, “Waiver Wired,” on the Extra Points podcast network. Piacenti is also a featured expert on MLB Network’s “Bettor’s Eye” and is a member of the esteemed Tout Wars, the fantasy baseball battle of the experts. She is a member of the Fantasy Sports Writers Association and is a 2020 Scott Fish Bowl finalist.