Sam Burns vs. Russell Henley: British Open Round 4 Matchup Bets

Breaking down the best 2-ball bets for the final round of the British Open.
Russell Henley and Sam Burns will tee it up with each other in the penultimate group in the final round at the British Open.
Russell Henley and Sam Burns will tee it up with each other in the penultimate group in the final round at the British Open. / Jack Gruber-USA TODAY Sports

Buckle up golf fans and bettors, we're in for a doozy of a final round at the British Open with seven golfers within a single shot of the lead at Royal Troon.

I've already broken down the live odds and made the case for a bet on Scottie Scheffler, but now let's talk about a few matchup bets.

British Open Round 4 2-Ball bets

All bets below are available at BetMGM Sportsbook

  • Jason Day -115 vs. Max Homa
  • Shane Lowry +100 vs. Adam Scott
  • Russell Henley -115 vs. Sam Burns

Jason Day vs. Max Homa prediction

If you want a bet on a twosome that's going to tee off early in the morning, take a look at Jason Day at -115 against Max Homa. Day has played a much more sustainable type of golf through the first three rounds, gaining +1.44 strokes per round with his approach game.

Meanwhile, Homa has relied on a hot putter to keep him in this tournament while losing strokes both with his irons and around the greens.

Don't judge Day for his Round 3 performance, he had to deal with the elements like the rest of the golfers with late tee times. I think he bounces back in the final round and finishes further up the leaderboard than his playing partner.

Pick: Jason Day -115

Shane Lowry vs. Adam Scott prediction

Shane Lowry had a disastrous final 11 holes in the third round, there's no denying that. With that being said, let's judge him based on his tournament as a whole instead of allowing recency bias to sway us towards Adam Scott.

The fact of the matter is Lowry has had a much better tournament in nearly every facet of the game. Scott has managed to gain +1.04 strokes around the greens per round, which isn't a sustainable way to succeed in a four-day event.

Hitting fairways and greens are what's going to be important on Sunday and I trust Lowry to do that a lot more than I trust the Australian.

Pick: Shane Lowry +100

Russell Henley vs. Sam Burns prediction

Russell Henley had to play through the elements through his last handful of holes on Saturday and he still managed to post an impressive 5 under par round for the day. He also led the field in strokes gained: approach on Saturday at +3.72.

His driving accuracy already makes him a fantastic fit for Royal Troon and now he seems to be putting it all together. I expect him to continue that level of play on Sunday.

Pick: Russell Henley -115


Odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

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Iain MacMillan

IAIN MACMILLAN

Originally from Nova Scotia, Iain MacMillan is a senior editor covering betting, with a focus on NFL, NHL, and golf. He hosts the Bacon Bets Podcast and has been featured on VSIN, BetQL and Monumental Sports Network. He is a member of the Metropolitan Golf Writers Association and his beloved Falcons and Maple Leafs break his heart on a yearly basis.