Thunder vs. Trail Blazers Prediction, Odds and Best NBA Prop Bets for Sunday, Jan. 26

Betting odds, pick and prediction for the Oklahoma City Thunder-Portland Trail Blazers matchup on Sunday, Jan. 26.
Oklahoma City Thunder guard Cason Wallace is a solid prop target on Sunday.
Oklahoma City Thunder guard Cason Wallace is a solid prop target on Sunday. / Alonzo Adams-Imagn Images

The Oklahoma City Thunder are looking to bounce back from a loss to the Dallas Mavericks on Thursday when they take on a red-hot Portland Trail Blazers team in a standalone game on Sunday.

Nobody else in the NBA is in action on Sunday, and the Blazers will get a chance to put their four-game winning streak to the test tonight. Portland has jumped up the overall standings in the NBA at 17-28, but it is still 13th in the Western Conference and well out of the play-in tournament picture.

These teams have matched up twice this season (both in November) with OKC picking up a 23-point win in Portland and a 10-point win at home.

However, the Thunder are down multiple key rotation players in this matchup, including wing Lu Dort, who has been ruled out with knee soreness.

Does that open up a chance for Portland to at least hang around as a double-digit underdog?

Here’s a breakdown of the odds, players to bet in the prop market, and my prediction for Sunday’s contest. 

Thunder vs. Trail Blazers Odds, Spread and Total

Odds via DraftKings Sportsbook.

Spread

  • Thunder -14 (-108)
  • Trail Blazers +14 (-112)

Moneyline

  • Thunder: -900
  • Trail Blazers: +600

Total

  • 226 (Over -108/Under -112)

Thunder vs. Trail Blazers How to Watch

  • Date: Sunday, Jan. 26
  • Time: 6:00 p.m. EST
  • Venue: Moda Center
  • How to Watch (TV): Bally Sports, Root Sports
  • Thunder record: 36-8
  • Blazers record: 17-28

Thunder vs. Trail Blazers Injury Reports

Thunder Injury Report

  • Lu Dort – out
  • Chet Holmgren – out
  • Dillon Jones – out
  • Ajay Mitchell – out
  • Nikola Topic – out
  • Cason Wallace – available

Trail Blazers Injury Report

  • Deandre Ayton – out
  • Matisse Thybulle – out

Thunder vs. Trail Blazers Best NBA Prop Bets

Oklahoma City Thunder Best NBA Prop Bet

  • Cason Wallace OVER 1.5 3-Pointers Made (+140)

If you’re thinking about taking a plus-money prop in this game, there could be some value on second-year guard Cason Wallace.

Wallace has taken a step back as a shooter – hitting just 34.1 percent of his 3s this season – but he should be in line for a bigger role with Lu Dort (knee) out on Sunday. Wallace has already been a starter for 29 of his 43 games this season, and I expect him to see an uptick in offensive usage with Dort sitting.

Over the last nine games for OKC, Wallace has four with multiple made 3s, hitting 1.4 per game while shooting 52.0 percent from beyond the arc. Asking him to hit just two shots from deep – against a Portland team that is 26th in opponent 3-point percentage – isn’t crazy. 

Portland Trail Blazers Best NBA Prop Bet

  • Donovan Clingan OVER 8.5 Rebounds (-120)

Portland rookie Donovan Clingan should have an expanded role on Sunday with Deandre Ayton out, and he’s thrived when the former No. 1 overall pick sits this season. 

Clingan is averaging 10.0 rebounds per game in 10 games without Ayton this season, putting up 13 boards on Jan. 24 and 10 boards on Jan. 11. In fact, Clingan has at least nine boards in six of the 10 games that Ayton has missed (and he’s played) in the 2024-25 campaign.

This is a great matchup for Clingan on the glass, as OKC ranks 27th in rebounding percentage and 28th in opponent rebounds per game. Even with Isaiah Hartenstein back for the Thunder, Clingan should have a huge game on the glass in this one.  

Thunder vs. Trail Blazers Prediction and Pick

All season long, OKC has been the No. 1 defense in the NBA, ranking first in defensive rating and first in opponent points per game. 

While the Blazers have won four games in a row, they are still a better UNDER team than OVER team in the 2024-25 season, and I think that continues tonight. Portland has not cleared 226 points once on its four-game winning streak, playing much better on the defensive side of the ball.

Plus, the Blazers enter this game just 26th in the league in offensive rating. I wouldn't be shocked to see this matchup end up similar to the second meeting between these teams (208 combined points), where OKC won a low-scoring affair.

Losing Dort hurts, but the Thunder can plug and play Alex Caruso in his spot in the starting lineup – if they so choose. 

Over their last 10 games, these teams are No. 2 (OKC) and No. 8 (Portland) in defensive rating. Don’t be shocked if this game ends up in the low 100s on Sunday. 

Pick: UNDER 226 (-112)


Odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

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Find Peter Dewey's NBA betting record here (futures included). You can also follow my daily plays on  BetStamp here.


Published
Peter Dewey
PETER DEWEY

Peter is a senior editor for Sports Illustrated Betting. He has worked as a writer and editor for BetSided, NBC Sports, the Connecticut Sun and the Meriden Record-Journal covering the NBA, WNBA, NFL, MLB, and more. A New York City resident, he is a hoops fanatic with a soft spot for his New York Knicks.