Vikings vs. Packers Prediction, Odds, Spread, Injuries, Trends for NFL Week 4

Sep 15, 2024; Minneapolis, Minnesota, USA; Minnesota Vikings quarterback Sam Darnold (14) and running back Aaron Jones (33) in action against the San Francisco 49ers during the game at U.S. Bank Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Jeffrey Becker-Imagn Images
Sep 15, 2024; Minneapolis, Minnesota, USA; Minnesota Vikings quarterback Sam Darnold (14) and running back Aaron Jones (33) in action against the San Francisco 49ers during the game at U.S. Bank Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Jeffrey Becker-Imagn Images / Jeffrey Becker-Imagn Images

Few people predicted the Minnesota Vikings would be 3-0 three weeks into the season, especially with games against the 49ers and and Texans in two of the first three weeks. Despite the lack of faith in them by NFL fans, Minnesota is 3-0 and heading to their Week 4 game against the Green Bay Packers sitting in sole possession of first place in the NFC North.

Meanwhile, the Packers season was in peril when Jordan Love was injured in Week 1 against the Philadelphia Eagles, but Malik Willis has delivered them two straight wins and are now 2-1 ahead of their Week 3 home game against the Vikings.

It has yet to be announced whether Love will be back for the Packers this week or if we'll get another Willis start on Sunday.

Vikings vs. Packers Odds, Spread, and Total

Odds via FanDuel Sportsbook

Spread

  • Vikings +2.5 (-105)
  • Packers -2.5 (-115)

Moneyline

  • Vikings +122
  • Packers -144

Total

  • OVER 43.5 (-110)
  • UNDER 43.5 (-110)

Vikings vs. Packers How to Watch

  • Date: Sunday, Sept. 29
  • Time: 1:00 p.m. EST
  • Venue: Lambeau Field
  • How to Watch (TV): CBS
  • Vikings record: 3-0
  • Packers record: 2-1

Vikings vs. Packers Betting Trends

  • The UNDER is 12-6 in the Vikings' last 18 games
  • Vikings are 6-1-2 ATS in their last nine road games
  • Packers are 12-6 ATS in their last 18 home games vs. Vikings
  • Vikings are 1-4 straight up in their last five games vs. divisional opponents
  • Packers are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games
  • The OVER is 9-3 in the Packers' last 12 games
  • Packers are 5-1 ATS in their last six home games

Vikings vs. Packers Injury Reports

Vikings Injury Report

  • Jordan Addison, WR - Questionable
  • Dallas Turner, LB - Questionable
  • Ivan Pace Jr., LB - Questionable
  • Sam Darnold, QB - Questionable

Packers Injury Report

  • Carrington Valentine, CB - Questionable
  • Jordan Morgan, OT - Questionable
  • Jordan Love, QB - Questionable

Vikings vs. Packers Key Players to Watch

Minnesota Vikings

Sam Darnold: The Vikings' quarterback has been one of the most surprising storylines so far this NFL season. Not only has he led Minnesota to a 3-0 record, but he's in the conversation to be MVP of the league. He's second in the NFL in quarterback rating at 117.3 and is averaging a blistering 8.4 yards per pass attempt.

Green Bay Packers

Jayden Reed: Jayden Reed has emerged as the top receiver for the Packers in what has been a crowded corps of players. He leads the team in targets (14), receptions (10) and receiving yards (197). He'll play a big role in the passing game no matter who is starting at quarterback.

Vikings vs. Packers Prediction and Pick

I'm all in on the Vikings. As I broke down in this week's edition of the "Road to 272 Bets," I'm ready to invest in this team.

I've seen enough from the Vikings to be convinced they are a legitimately good football team. Not only are they 3-0 with wins over the likes of the 49ers and Texans, but their metrics prove the wins haven't been flukes. Heading into Week 4, they rank second in the NFL in Net Yards per Play at +1.3.

We haven't received word yet about whether Jordan Love is starting for the Packers. Based on the current spread, we can assume he likely will. If it's announced Malik Willis will be getting the start, we'll likely have a valuable ticket at +3.

Even if Love does start, I don't know how much confidence I'd have in a quarterback in his first start after a knee injury. I'll take the points in this NFC North battle.

Pick: Vikings +2.5 (-105)


NFL Week 4 Betting Stories

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Iain MacMillan

IAIN MACMILLAN

Originally from Nova Scotia, Iain MacMillan is a senior editor covering betting, with a focus on NFL, NHL, and golf. He hosts the Bacon Bets Podcast and has been featured on VSIN, BetQL and Monumental Sports Network. He is a member of the Metropolitan Golf Writers Association and his beloved Falcons and Maple Leafs break his heart on a yearly basis.