Bracket Watch: Will Duke Drop To A No. 2 Seed?
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Duke could lose its No. 1 seed after a 83-74 ACC tournament loss to Maryland. (Streeter Lecka/Getty Images)
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The final at-large spot is wide open. Mississippi may have the edge heading into Saturday's play, but it's unclear whether they can hold onto that spot given then play Vandy in the SEC semifinals. That game is no help to them, so at best, this is the profile Ole Miss would present as an at-large with a loss in the SEC final. If other teams win another game or there's a bid thief, the Rebels will need the auto bid.
There's also a lot of intrigue building around the No. 1 seeds. Twitter was abuzz with the chance that Duke would drop to a 2-seed after losing to Maryland in the ACC quarterfinals. I find that extremely unlikely. Even including the games missed by Ryan Kelly, Duke was the No.1 RPI and No. 1 SOS team in the country. They also have 12 top-50 and 17 top-100 wins. I suppose if Indiana, Louisville and Kansas all win their league championships, we can revisit, but I find it more likely Gonzaga would be squeezed to the 2-seed line, not the Blue Devils.
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*Designated auto-bid winners from each conference. Auto bids are determined by team with the best RPI of those with the fewest league losses.
Last four in: Tennessee, La Salle, Saint Mary's, Mississippi
Last four out: Virginia, Kentucky, Massachusetts, Middle Tennessee State
New at-large teams in: Mississippi
Old at-large teams out: Kentucky
Bids by conference: