Arizona vs. Oregon prediction, odds for March Madness round of 32 game

The Wildcats and Ducks last met in the Pac-12 Tournament semifinals a year ago
Arizona guard Caleb Love (1) leads the Wildcats in scoring this season.
Arizona guard Caleb Love (1) leads the Wildcats in scoring this season. / Stephen Brashear-Imagn Images

The Arizona Wildcats and Oregon Ducks are quite familiar with each other.

Longtime members of the Pac-12 Conference, Arizona and Oregon have faced off 93 times in men's basketball, with Arizona holding a 55-38 edge.

In their last season together in the Pac-12, Arizona swept the season series from Oregon before losing to the Ducks in the 2024 Pac-12 Tournament semifinals.

Now members of the Big 12 and Big Ten, Arizona (23-12) and Oregon (25-9) will meet again on Sunday with a lot on the line — a spot in the Sweet 16 of the 2025 NCAA Tournament.

After going to the NCAA Tournament every year of his coaching career under Mark Few at Gonzaga, Tommy Lloyd has led Arizona into March Madness all four seasons of his tenure in Tucson. He is 5-2 in NCAA Tournament games as the head coach at Arizona, and has advanced to the Sweet 16 in two of the last three seasons.

In his 15th season at Oregon, Dana Altman has led the Ducks to the NCAA Tournament nine times and has a record of 19-9 in tournament games with the Ducks. He has won at least 20 games in every season as Oregon's head coach.

Arizona vs. Oregon Odds, Spread and Total

Odds via DraftKings Sportsbook.

Spread

  • Arizona -3.5 (-112)
  • Oregon +3.5 (-108)

Moneyline

  • Arizona: -175
  • Oregon: +145

Total

  • 152.5 (Over -115/Under -105)

Arizona vs. Oregon How to Watch

  • Date: Sunday, March 23
  • Time: 6:40 p.m. MST/PT
  • Venue: Climate Pledge Arena
  • How to Watch (TV): TBS
  • Arizona record: 23-12
  • Oregon record: 25-9

Arizona vs. Oregon Prediction and Pick

This game is essentially a coin flip.

Arizona is one of the best offensive teams in the country, averaging 82.1 points per game. The Wildcats rank No. 12 in the country in adjusted offensive efficiency, according to KenPom.

Oregon is a better defensive team. According to KenPom the Ducks rank No. 22 in the country in adjusted defensive efficiency. Oregon is playing close to home and should have a significant homecourt advantage with Ducks fans making the short drive from Eugene and Portland to Seattle.

ESPN's BPI predicts Arizona has a 68.7% chance to beat Oregon.

Our prediction: Arizona 74, Oregon 71.

Odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

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Ben Sherman
BEN SHERMAN

Ben Sherman has been covering the sports world for most of his 27-year journalism career, including 17 years with The Oregonian/OregonLive. A basketball junkie, March Madness is his favorite time of the year.