FPI Predicts BYU vs Texas Tech, Updates Win Projection for the Cougars

The Cougars play Texas Tech in a pivot game on the schedule

After a blowout loss to TCU, BYU returns home to host the Texas Tech Red Raiders. BYU is 4-2 and facing a critical game if the Cougars hope to go to a bowl game. The Red Raiders are 3-4 and coming off a 38-21 loss to Kansas State. ESPN's predictive college football algorithm, the football power index, updated its prediction for BYU-Texas Tech. FPI gives BYU a 33.1% chance to beat Texas Tech at home.

Before the blowout loss to TCU, FPI projected BYU to finish with a 6.0-6.0 record and gave BYU a 65.0% chance to finish with six or more wins. After the bye week, FPI downgraded BYU's projected record to 5.4-6.6 and now gives BYU just a 42.2% chance to finish with six or more wins. FPI projects BYU to be the underdog in all six of its remaining games.

BYU started the 2023 season ranked 60th in FPI. BYU climbed to 53rd after a 4-1 start to the season. The Cougars fell 15 spots to 68th after the loss to the Frogs. The Cougars are ranked above only Baylor (80).

Oklahoma is the the highest-ranked Big 12 team in the FPI rankings - the Sooners rank second nationally behind only Ohio State. The Sooners travel to Provo to take on BYU in November.

Big 12 FPI Rankings

1. Oklahoma - 2nd nationally
2. Texas - 5th nationally
3. Kansas State - 19th nationally
4. TCU - 24th nationally
5. Texas Tech - 32nd nationally
6. Iowa State - 39th nationally
7. UCF - 40th nationally
8. West Virginia - 42nd nationally
9. Kansas - 44th nationally
10. Cincinnati - 45th nationally
11. Oklahoma State - 47th nationally
12. Houston - 66th nationally
13. BYU - 68th nationally
14. Baylor - 80th nationally

In the FPI model, Oklahoma is given 63.7% chance to win the conference and Texas is second at 30.9%. Kansas State is third in line with a 3.9% chance to win the Big 12.

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