Pac-12 Basketball Preview: Arizona the Clear Favorite

Conference play starts this week. Is UCLA really this bad? Washington the surprise of the conference so far
Pac-12 Basketball Preview: Arizona the Clear Favorite
Pac-12 Basketball Preview: Arizona the Clear Favorite /

Pac-12 play in men's basketball begins Thursday, and everyone is chasing Arizona, which is ranked No. 4 in the country this week.

Here are our look at the conference

Player of the year rankings so far

1. KJ Simpson, Colorado

2. Branden Carlsen, Utah

3. Caleb Love, Arizona

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Coach of the year rankings so far

1. Tommy Lloyd, Arizona

2. Tad Boyle, Colorado

3. Craig Smith, Utah

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Freshman of the year rankings so far

1. Isaiah Collier, USC

2. Myles Rice, Washington State

3. Sebastian Mack, UCLA

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A look at the teams so far, in their predicted order of finish:

1. Arizona (9-2)

Coach: Tommy Lloyd, 3rd year

NET ranking: 2

Best win: Duke (road)

Worst Loss: Florida Atlantic (neutral)

Leading scorers: Caleb Love (16.5), Keshad Johnson (13.0)

Leading rebounder: Oumar Ball (8.1)

Top assist man: Kylan Boswell (4.4)

Scoring average: 92.5 (Pac-12 rank: 1st)

Three-point percentage: 36.6% (Pac-12 rank: 3rd)

Points allowed: 69.5 (Pac-12 rank: 6th)

Field-goal percentage defense: 41.0% (Pac-12 rank: 4th)

Comment: The only Pac-12 team ranked this week, and the Wildcats are No. 4

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2. Colorado (9-2)

Coach: Tad Boyle, 14th year

NET ranking: 33

Best win: Miami (neutral)

Worst Loss: Florida State (neutral)

Leading scorers: KJ Simpson (19.9), Tristan da Silva (15.7)

Leading rebounder: Eddie Lampkin (7.5)

Top assist man: KJ Simpson (4.5)

Scoring average: 86.2 (Pac-12 rank: 2nd)

Three-point percentage: 40.7% (Pac-12 rank: 1st)

Points allowed: 69.0 (Pac-12 rank: 4th)

Field-goal percentage defense: 42.0% (Pac-12 rank: 9th)

Comment: The one-two punch of Simpson and da Silva is formidable

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3. Washington (8-3)

Coach: Mike Hopkins, 7th year

NET ranking: 58

Best win: Gonzaga (home)

Worst Loss: San Diego State (neutral)

Leading scorers: Keion Brooks Jr. (20.1), Sahvir Wheeler (15.6)

Leading rebounder: Keion Brooks Jr. (7.6)

Top assist man: Sahvir Wheeler (7.1)

Scoring average: 83.0 (Pac-12 rank: 3rd)

Three-point percentage: 34.2% (Pac-12 rank: 8th)

Points allowed: 74.5 (Pac-12 rank: 10th)

Field-goal percentage defense: 41.2% (Pac-12 rank: 5th)

Comment: That win over Gonzaga makes you think the Huskies have something

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4. Utah (9-2)

Coach: Craig Smith, 3rd year

NET ranking: 25

Best win: BYU (road)

Worst Loss: St. John’s (neutral)

Leading scorers: Branden Carlson (16.8), Gabe Madsen (14.2)

Leading rebounder: Keba Keita (6.4)

Top assist man: Rollie Worster (6.2)

Scoring average: 80.6 (Pac-12 rank: 4th)

Three-point percentage: 38.0% (Pac-12 rank: 2nd)

Points allowed: 68.5 (Pac-12 rank: 3rd)

Field-goal percentage defense: 41.3% (Pac-12 rank: 7th)

Comment: Craig Smith has made amazing progress with this team, which was 4-16 in Pac-12 play two years ago in his first season.

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5. UCLA (5-6)

Coach: Mick Cronin, 5th year

NET ranking: 172

Best win: UC Riverside

Worst Loss: Cal State Northridge

Leading scorers: Sebastian Mack (15.2), Adem Bona (12.1)

Leading rebounder: Adem Bona (6.5)

Top assist man: Dylan Andrews (3.7)

Scoring average: 67.7 (Pac-12 rank: 11th)

Three-point percentage: 29.4% (Pac-12 rank: 10th)

Points allowed: 62.0 (Pac-12 rank: 1st)

Field-goal percentage defense: 38.7% (Pac-12 rank: 2nd)

Comment: Got to believe Cronin will improve this team, which has been horrible so far.

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6. USC (6-5)

Coach Andy Enfield, 11th year

NET ranking: 80

Best win: Kansas State (neutral)

Worst Loss: UC Irvine (home)

Leading scorers: Boogie Ellis (19.5), Isaiah Collier (16.1)

Leading rebounder: Kobe Johnson (5.6)

Top assist man: Isaiah Collier (4.3)

Scoring average: 78.5 (Pac-12 rank: 6th)

Three-point percentage: 34.9% (4th)

Points allowed: 73.1 (Pac-12 rank: 9th)

Field-goal percentage defense: 41.3% (Pac-12 rank: 8th)

Comment: Trojans usually rely on defense under Enfield, but they have been mediocre at that end.

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7. Washington State (9-2)

Coach: Kyle Smith, 5th year

NET ranking: 44

Best win: Boise State (neutral)

Worst Loss: Santa Clara (neutral)

Leading scorers: Isaac Jones (15.6), Myles Rice (15.5)

Leading rebounder: Isaac Jones (7.3)

Top assist man: Myles Rice (2.9)

Scoring average: 77.4 (Pac-12 rank: 8th)

Three-point percentage: 33.6% (Pac-12 rank: 9th)

Points allowed: 62.5 (Pac-12 rank: 2nd)

Field-goal percentage defense: 37.3% (Pac-12 rank: 1st)

Comment: If you’re looking for a sleeper in the Pac-12, the Cougars may be it

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8. Oregon (8-3)

Coach: Dan Altman, 14th year

NET ranking: 68

Best win: Georgia (neutral)

Worst Loss: Santa Clara (neutral)

Leading scorers: Jermaine Couisnard (13.1), Jackson Shelstad (13.0)

Leading rebounder: Kwame Evans Jr. (5.5)

Top assist man: Jackson Shelstad (3.0)

Scoring average: 79.0 (Pac-12 rank: 5th)

Three-point percentage: 34.3% (Pac-12 rank: 7th)

Points allowed: 70.9 (Pac-12 rank: 8th)

Field-goal percentage defense: 43.4% (11th)

Comment: Center N’Faly Dante could be back within a few weeks, but Nate Bittle may be gone for the season.

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9. Cal (4-7)

Coach: Mark Madsen, 1st year

NET ranking: 221

Best win: Santa Clara (Home)

Worst Loss: Montana State (home)

Leading scorers: Jaylon Tyson (19.4), Fardaws Aimaq (16.9)

Leading rebounder: Fardaws Aimaq (10.7)

Top assist man: Keonte Kennedy (4.5)

Scoring average: 76.0 (Pac-12 rank: 9th)

Three-point percentage: 34.7% (Pac-12 rank: 7th)

Points allowed: 75.9 (Pac-12 rank: 12th)

Field-goal percentage defense: 44.0% (Pac-12 rank: 12th)

Comment: The Bears can score under their new head coach, but the defense is lacking

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10. Stanford (5-5)

Coach: Jerod Haase, 8th year

NET ranking: 149

Best win: San Diego (home)

Worst Loss: Northern Iowa (neutral)

Leading scorers: Maxime Raynaud (14.6), Michael Jones (13.0)

Leading rebounder: Maxime Raynaud (9.1)

Top assist man: Jared Bynum (6.7)

Scoring average: 78.4 (Pac-12 rank: 7th)

Three-point percentage: 34.5% (Pac-12 rank: 6th)

Points allowed: 74.6 (Pac-12 rank: 11th)

Field-goal percentage defense: 42.9% (Pac-12 rank: 10th)

Comment: Will this be Haase’s final season as head coach?

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11. Oregon State (8-3)

Coach: Wayne Tinkle, 10th year

NET ranking: 196

Best win: Appalachian State (home)

Worst Loss: Pittsburgh (Neutral)

Leading scorers: Jordan Pope (16.9), Dexter Akanno (11.7)

Leading rebounder: Michael Rataj (6.5)

Top assist man: Jordan Pope (3.4)

Scoring average: 71.5 (Pac-12 rank: 10th)

Three-point percentage: 29.3% (Pac-12 rank: 11th)

Points allowed: 69.1 (Pac-12 rank: 5th)

Field-goal percentage defense: 40.1% (Pac-12 rank: 3rd)

Comment: Better than expected, but still not good enough to challenge

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12. Arizona State (6-5)

Coach: Bobby Hurley, 9th year

NET ranking: 144

Best win: SMU (home)

Worst Loss: San Diego (Home)

Leading scorers: Wayne McKinney III (14.6), Deuce Turner (13.0)

Leading rebounder: Steven Jamerson II (6.7)

Top assist man: Wayne McKinney III (3.0)

Scoring average: 66.9 (Pac-12 rank: 12th)

Three-point percentage: 29.0% (Pac-12 rank: 12th)

Points allowed: 69.5 (Pac-12 rank: 6th)

Field-goal percentage defense: 41.2% (Pac-12 rank: 6th)

Comment: Shooting woes will lead to some interesting courtside reactions by Hurley

Cover photo of Tommy Lloyd and Caleb Love by Mark J. Rebilas, USA TODAY Sports

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Jake Curtis
JAKE CURTIS

Jake Curtis worked in the San Francisco Chronicle sports department for 27 years, covering virtually every sport, including numerous Final Fours, several college football national championship games, an NBA Finals, world championship boxing matches and a World Cup. He was a Cal beat writer for many of those years, and won awards for his feature stories.