Pac-12 Bowl Projections: 8 of 12 Experts Have Pac-12 Team in CFP
Suddenly there is a lot of support for a Pac-12 team getting into the College Football Playoff.
Seven of the 12 experts we cited project that Pac-12 leader Oregon will be in one of the four teams in the national semifinals competing for a national championship. One of the sites predicts that UCLA will be one of the final four.
That's a big increase from last week when Oregon was projected to be in the CFP by just one site. Losses by Clemson, Alabama and Tennessee this past week shook things up in favor of the Pac-12.
(See comments from ESPN's Kyle Bonagura and USA Today's Erick Smith regarding the Pac-12's situation.)
The Rose Bowl projections are split up. Five of our experts put USC in the Rose Bowl, four others place Oregon in Pasadena and three predict that UCLA will play on its home field in the Rose Bowl.
Most predict that Michigan will be the Rose Bowl opponent for the Pac-12 representative, but two suggest that Penn State will be the Big Ten team, with Michigan getting a spot in the College Football Playoff.
The second CFP rankings come out Tuesday night.
Here are the Pac-12 and CFP bowl projections from out 12 experts, with a list of the dates and venues of the bowls with Pac-12 tie-ins listed at the bottom of this story.
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Sports Illustrated (Richard Johnson)
Peach Bowl (national CFP semifinals) – Georgia vs. Ohio State
Fiesta Bowl (national CFP semifinals) – Oregon vs. TCU
Rose Bowl – USC vs. Michigan
Cotton Bowl – Tulane vs. Tennessee
Alamo Bowl – Utah vs. Baylor
Holiday Bowl – Washington vs. Wake Forest
Las Vegas Bowl – Oregon State vs. Air Force
Sun Bowl – UCLA vs. Syracuse
LA Bowl – Washington State vs. San Diego State
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Peach Bowl (national CFP semifinals) – Georgia vs. TCU
Fiesta Bowl (national CFP semifinals) – Oregon vs. Michigan
Rose Bowl – UCLA vs. Ohio State
Cotton Bowl – Alabama vs. Tulane
Alamo Bowl – USC vs. Kansas State
Holiday Bowl – Utah vs. Notre Dame
Las Vegas Bowl – Washington vs. South Carolina
Sun Bowl – Oregon State vs. Wake Forest
LA Bowl – Washington State vs. Boise State
Matchup Bonagura is most excited to see
UCLA-Ohio State: This would be a fun Rose Bowl matchup. Ohio State coach Ryan Day played for UCLA coach Chip Kelly at New Hampshire and was later his quarterbacks coach on the staffs of the Philadelphia Eagles and San Francisco 49ers.
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Peach Bowl (national CFP semifinals) – Georgia vs. Michigan
Fiesta Bowl (national CFP semifinals) – Ohio State vs. TCU
Rose Bowl – Oregon vs. Penn State
Cotton Bowl – USC vs. Tulane
Alamo Bowl – UCLA vs. Kansas State
Holiday Bowl – Utah vs. Notre Dame
Las Vegas Bowl – Washington vs. Mississippi State
Sun Bowl – Oregon State vs. Pittsburgh
LA Bowl – Washington State vs. Boise State
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Peach Bowl (national CFP semifinals) – Georgia vs. Tennessee
Fiesta Bowl (national CFP semifinals) – Ohio State vs. TCU
Rose Bowl – USC vs. Michigan
Cotton Bowl – Oregon vs. Cincinnati
Alamo Bowl – UCLA vs. Oklahoma State
Holiday Bowl – Utah vs. Wake Forest
Las Vegas Bowl – Washington vs. South Carolina
Sun Bowl – Oregon State vs. Louisville
LA Bowl – Washington State vs. Boise State
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Action Network (Brett McMurphy)
Peach Bowl (national CFP semifinals) – Georgia vs. Tennessee
Fiesta Bowl (national CFP semifinals) – UCLA vs. Ohio State
Rose Bowl – Oregon vs. Michigan
Cotton Bowl – LSU vs. Tulane
Alamo Bowl – USC vs. Texas
Holiday Bowl – Washington vs. Wake Forest
Las Vegas Bowl – Utah vs. Arkansas
Sun Bowl – Oregon State vs. Louisville
LA Bowl – Washington State vs. Boise State
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Peach Bowl (national CFP semifinals) – Tennessee vs. Georgia
Fiesta Bowl (national CFP semifinals) – Oregon vs. Ohio State
Rose Bowl – UCLA vs. Michigan
Cotton Bowl – Penn State vs UCF
Alamo Bowl – USC vs. TCU
Holiday Bowl – Utah vs. Notre Dame
Las Vegas Bowl – Washington State vs. Arkansas
Sun Bowl – Oregon State vs. Duke
LA Bowl – Washington vs. Fresno State
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The Sporting News (Bill Bender)
Peach Bowl (national CFP semifinals) – Georgia vs. Michigan
Fiesta Bowl (national CFP semifinals) – Ohio State vs. TCU
Rose Bowl – Oregon vs. Penn State
Cotton Bowl – USC vs. Tulane
Alamo Bowl – Utah vs. Kansas State
Holiday Bowl – UCLA vs. Florida State
Las Vegas Bowl – Washington State vs. Missouri
Sun Bowl – Oregon State vs. Duke
LA Bowl – Boise State vs. Houston
First Responder Bowl – Washington vs. Texas Tech
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Peach Bowl (national CFP semifinals) – Oregon vs. Georgia
Fiesta Bowl (national CFP semifinals) – Ohio State vs. Tennessee
Rose Bowl – USC vs. Michigan
Cotton Bowl – Mississippi vs. Tulane
Alamo Bowl – UCLA vs. Texas
Holiday Bowl – Utah vs. Florida State
Las Vegas Bowl – Oregon State vs. Missouri
Sun Bowl – Washington vs. Louisville
LA Bowl – Washington State vs. Boise State
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Pro Football Network (Oliver Hodgkinson)
Peach Bowl (national CFP semifinals) – Ohio State vs. Michigan
Fiesta Bowl (national CFP semifinals) – Georgia vs. TCU
Rose Bowl – Oregon vs. Penn State
Cotton Bowl – USC vs. Tulane
Alamo Bowl – UCLA vs. Kansas State
Holiday Bowl – Utah vs. Notre Dame
Las Vegas Bowl – Kentucky vs. Appalachian State
Sun Bowl – Washington vs. Florida State
LA Bowl – Boise State vs. Washington State
Gasparilla Bowl – Oregon State vs. Cincinnati
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Peach Bowl (national CFP semifinals) – Oregon vs. Georgia
Fiesta Bowl (national CFP semifinals) – Tennessee vs. Ohio State
Rose Bowl – USC vs. Michigan
Cotton Bowl – Penn State vs. Tulane
Alamo Bowl – UCLA vs. Texas
Holiday Bowl – Washington vs. Florida State
Las Vegas Bowl – Utah vs. Mississippi State
Sun Bowl – Oregon State vs. Wake Forest
LA Bowl – Washington State vs. Boise State
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Peach Bowl (national CFP semifinals) -- Georgia vs. TCU
Fiesta Bowl (national CFP semifinals) -- Ohio State vs. Oregon
Rose Bowl -- USC vs. Michigan
Cotton Bowl -- Penn State vs. Cincinnati
Alamo Bowl -- UCLA vs. Oklahoma State
Holiday Bowl -- Utah vs. Notre Dame
Las Vegas Bowl -- Washington vs. Florida
Sun Bowl -- Oregon State vs. Florida State
LA Bowl -- Washington State vs. Fresno State
Smith comment: The Pac-12 looks best positioned to take advantage of the situation with three one-loss teams in the mix and the almost certainty of two reaching the conference championship game if Oregon beats Utah at home Nov. 19. Should that scenario play out, the winner of the league title would be a lock for the field and signs point to the Ducks being the ones that prevail.
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San Jose Mercury-News (Jon Wilner)
(Pac-12 representative only)
College Football Playoff – Oregon
Rose Bowl – UCLA
Alamo Bowl – USC
Holiday Bowl – Utah
Las Vegas Bowl – Washington
Sun Bowl – Oregon State
LA Bowl – Washington State
USA Today (Erick Smith).
Here are the bowls with Pac-12 tie-ins, listed in their pecking order:
College Football Playoff semifinals (if a Pac-12 team finishes among the top four teams in the final College Football Playoff rankings): Peach Bowl, Dec. 31, 1 p.m. Pacific time or 5 p.m. Pacific time, Atlanta Ga., ESPN, and Fiesta Bowl, Dec. 31, 1 p.m. Pacific time or 5 p.m. Pacific time, Glendale, Ariz., ESPN.
1. Rose Bowl: Jan. 2, 2 p.m. Pacific time, Pasadena, Calif., ESPN – Pac-12 vs. Big Ten.
1A. New Year's Six Bowls -- A Pac-12 team could qualify for one of the other three New Year's Six Bowls -- Orange Bowl on Dec. 30, Cotton Bowl on Jan. 2, Sugar Bowl on Dec. 31.
2. Alamo Bowl: Dec. 29, 6 p.m. Pacific time, San Antonio, Texas, ESPN – Pac-12 vs. Big 12.
3. Holiday Bowl: Dec. 28, 5 p.m. Pacific time, San Diego, FOX/FS1 – Pac-12 vs. ACC
4. Las Vegas Bowl: Dec. 17, 4:30 p.m. Pacific time, Las Vegas, ABC – Pac-12 vs. SEC
5. Sun Bowl: Dec. 30, 11 a.m. Pacific time, El Paso, Texas, CBS – Pac-12 vs. Notre Dame/ACC
6. LA Bowl: Dec. 17, 12:30 p.m. Pacific time, Inglewood, Calif., ABC – Pac-12 vs. Mountain West.
First Responder Bowl -- The Pac-12 might occupy a spot in this Dec. 27 bowl in University Park, Texas, against a team from the ACC, American Athletic or Big 12.
Gasparilla Bowl -- The Pac-12 might fill an opening in this Dec. 23 bowl in Tampa, Fla., against a team from the Big 12, ACC or SEC.
Armed Forces Bowl -- The Pac-12 could get a berth in this Dec. 22 bowl in Fort Worth Texas.
NOTE: The Rose Bowl, Alamo Bowl, Holiday Bowl and Las Vegas Bowl have the option of passing over one team in the Pac-12 standings for another team if those teams are not separated by more than one game in the conference standings. The Sun Bowl and LA Bowl do not have that option and must make their selections based on order of finish in the Pac-12 standings.
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Cover photo of Oregon's Justin Flowe by Ron Chenoy, USA TODAY Sports
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