What Does ESPN's BPI Say About Georgia Tech's Matchup With Wake Forest Tonight?

Georgia Tech is going to be a sizeable underdog vs the Demon Deacons tonight on the road

Georgia Tech has a quick turnaround after beating Florida State on Senior Day on Saturday. There are only two games left in the regular season and one of them will be a road test at Wake Forest tonight. 

The Demon Deacons blew Georgia Tech out in Atlanta the last time the two schools played and they are big favorites to do so again. Vegas has Wake Forest as 13.5 point favorites tonight and ESPN's BPI is also feelin very confident. 

But what is BPI? Here is how ESPN describes it:

"The Basketball Power Index (BPI) is a measure of team strength that is meant to be the best predictor of performance going forward. BPI represents how many points above or below average a team is. Strength of Record (SOR) is a measure of team accomplishment based on how difficult a team's W-L record is to achieve. Game predictions account for opponent strength, pace of play, site, travel distance, day's rest and altitude, and are used to simulate the season 10,000 times to produce season projections. Numbers update daily."

ESPN's BPI is giving Wake Forest a 95% chance to win tonight's game. 

Miles Kelly (14.4 ppg) leads three Yellow Jackets averaging in double figures this season, including freshman forward Baye Ndongo (11.8) and junior guard Kowacie Reeves, Jr. (10.1). Tech’s other rotation player averaged between 4.9 and 9.1 points per game.

Georgia Tech has a 46-43 lead in the all-time series and a 45-41 lead in games played since it became a member of the ACC. That is the best winning percentage that the Yellow Jackets have against any of the pre-2005 expansion members of the conference.

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Tech (13-16, 6-12 ACC) has won two in a row, having defeated Miami (80-76) and Florida State (85-76) in the last week. The Jackets have also scored ACC wins over Duke, Clemson (on the road), North Carolina and Syracuse, and are tied for 12th place in the ACC standings with Boston College and Miami.

Wake Forest (18-11, 10-8 ACC) has lost its last two games at Notre Dame (70-65) and Virginia Tech (87-76) but are undefeated at home this season (15-0), including a win over Duke on Feb. 24. The Demon Deacons defeated Tech in Atlanta, 80-51, on Feb. 6, and are 3-4 since then.

Tech has won 11 of the last 17 meetings between the two teams, but the Demon Deacons have taken the last three, including an 80-51 win in Atlanta in the teams’ first meeting of the 2023-24 season.