SP+ Predicts Georgia Tech vs Georgia State Final Score

Georgia Tech welcomes Georgia State to Bobby Dodd Stadium on Saturday night
Aug 24, 2024; Dublin, IRL; Georgia Tech running back Jamal Haynes celebrates a touch down against Florida State 
 at Aviva Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Tom Maher/INPHO via USA TODAY Sports
Aug 24, 2024; Dublin, IRL; Georgia Tech running back Jamal Haynes celebrates a touch down against Florida State at Aviva Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Tom Maher/INPHO via USA TODAY Sports / Tom Maher/INPHO via USA TODAY Sports

Georgia Tech is coming off of a big win vs Florida State, but now they are turning their focus to Georgia State, who is making the short trip over to Bobby Dodd Stadium to face the Yellow Jackets for the first time in program history. It will be the first game for the Panthers under new head coach Dell McGee and they are going to be fired up for a chance to face Georgia Tech.

Most Sportsbooks have Georgia Tech as a near three touchdown favorite going into Saturday's game, but Bill Connelly's SP+ likes Georgia State to cover this weekend, even though it is just by a little. SP+ is projecting Georgia Tech to win 39-21 and it gives the Yellow Jackets an 87% chance to win the game on Saturday.

What exactly is SP+? Here is how Connelly himself describes it:

"As always, these are based on three primary factors: returning production (final rankings for which you can find at the bottom of this piece), recent recruiting and recent history. How good have you been recently? Whom do you have coming back? How good are the players replacing those you don't have coming back? That's loosely what we ask when we're setting expectations for a team; it's also what these projections attempt to do objectively.

As always: SP+ is a tempo- and opponent-adjusted measure of college football efficiency. It is a predictive measure of the most sustainable and predictable aspects of football, not a résumé ranking, and, along those same lines, these projections aren't intended to be a guess at what the AP Top 25 will look like at the end of the year. These are simply early offseason power rankings based on the information we have been able to gather to date."

Georgia Tech is sure to get the best shot from Georgia State on Saturday and they will need to be prepared to win this game.


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Jackson Caudell

JACKSON CAUDELL

Jackson Caudell has been covering Georgia Tech Athletics For On SI since March 2022 and the Atlanta Hawks for On SI since October 2023. Jackson is also the co-host of the Bleav in Georgia Tech podcast and he loves to bring thoughtful analysis and comprehensive coverage to everything that he does. Find him on X @jacksoncaudell