ESPN FPI Predicts Kansas Basketball Loss to Baylor

The Jayhawks are gearing up for a challenging matchup in Waco on Saturday.
Jan 28, 2025; Lawrence, Kansas, USA; Kansas Jayhawks guard Zeke Mayo (5) passes the ball through UCF Knights center Moustapha Thiam (52) and guard Darius Johnson (3) during the second half at Allen Fieldhouse. Mandatory Credit: Denny Medley-Imagn Images
Jan 28, 2025; Lawrence, Kansas, USA; Kansas Jayhawks guard Zeke Mayo (5) passes the ball through UCF Knights center Moustapha Thiam (52) and guard Darius Johnson (3) during the second half at Allen Fieldhouse. Mandatory Credit: Denny Medley-Imagn Images / Denny Medley-Imagn Images
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Kansas basketball is riding high after a thrilling 91-87 win over UCF on Jan. 28, where Hunter Dickinson and Zeke Mayo both dropped 24 points.

But according to ESPN’s Basketball Power Index (FPI), the Jayhawks might be in for a tough one on Saturday when they take on Baylor in Waco.

The Bears have won two of their last three games but are coming off a 93-89 overtime loss at BYU.

Still, they’ve been nearly unbeatable at home this season, boasting a 9-1 record at the Ferrell Center. That home-court edge is likely why ESPN Analytics gives Baylor a 54.6% chance to win, slightly ahead of Kansas at 45.4%.

This Big 12 battle should be a close one, with both teams looking to boost their conference standing.

Can Kansas keep its momentum rolling, or will Baylor’s home dominance be too much to overcome? We’ll find out Saturday at 3 p.m. CT on ESPN.


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Mathey Gibson
MATHEY GIBSON

Mathey Gibson is the Managing Editor for the Kansas Jayhawks On SI. A graduate of the University of Alabama, he has extensive experience covering major college sports, including reporting on Crimson Tide athletics since 2019 for outlets like Alabama Crimson Tide On SI, The Crimson White, and Tide Illustrated. Now focused on Kansas, Gibson has covered significant events such as the NCAA Tournament, College World Series, and the College Football Playoff, bringing a deep understanding of collegiate athletics to one of the nation’s premier programs.