Tale of The Tape & Prediction: Louisville vs. Florida State

See how the Cardinals stack up against the Seminoles, and who the statistical models favor.

(Photo of David Johnson: Melina Myers/USA TODAY Sports)

LOUISVILLE, Ky. - No. 16 Louisville (9-2, 4-1 ACC) is set to face Florida State (7-2, 3-1 ACC) on Monday, Jan. 18th at 7:00 p.m. EST at the KFC Yum! Center in Louisville, Ky. Here's how the Cardinals stack up against the Seminoles:

- Rankings:

	Florida State	Louisville
AP/Coaches	RV/RV	16/18
NET	40th	35th
RPI	46th	13th
SOS	66th	50th
KenPom	23rd	30th
Sagarin	16th	24th

- Team Leaders:

	Florida State	Louisville
Points	MJ Walker (16.3)	Carlik Jones (18.0)
Rebounds	Balsa Koprivica (5.7)	Jae'Lyn Withers (7.2)
Assists	Scottie Barnes (4.1)	Carlik Jones (4.9)
Steals	RaiQuan Gray (1.7)	Carlik Jones (1.3)
Blocks	Balsa Koprivica (1.2)	JJ Traynor (0.9)

- Scoring:

	Florida State	Louisville
Points Per Game	79.1	71.2
Field Goal %	46.8%	47.3%
FGM/FGA Per Game	27.3/58.4	25.5/54.0
Three Point %	38.2%	33.0%
3PTM/3PTA Per Game	8.4/22.1	5.5/16.8
Free Throw %	74.6%	74.8%
FTM/FTA Per Game	16.0/21.4	14.5/19.5

- Rebounding:

	Florida State	Louisville
Rebounds Per Game	35.9	37.1
Off. Reb. Per Game	11.1	9.1
Def. Reb. Per Game	24.8	28.0
Rebound Margin	+4.0	+5.6

- Defense:

	Florida State	Louisville
Opp. Points Per Game	69.7	64.4
Opp, FG%	40.6%	39.8%
Opp. 3PT%	36.0%	31.4%
Steals Per Game	7.7	4.8
Blocks Per Game	5.0	2.4

- Ball Handling:

	Florida State	Louisville
Assists Per Game	14.8	12.3
Turnovers Per Game	13.8	12.4
Turnover Margin	+1.1	-0.6
Assist/Turnover Ratio	1.1	1.0

- ESPN Prediction: Per ESPN's Basketball Power Index, Louisville has a 59.6% chance to win against Florida State.

- KenPom Prediction:

Per KenPom.com, the Cardinals have a 54% chance to take down the Seminoles, with a projected final score of 71-70 in favor of Louisville. FSU's Adjusted Efficiency Margin ranking of 23rd is the second-highest out of the remaining opponents Louisville will face this season (7th - Virginia).

- Personal Prediction: Florida State 73, Louisville 69.

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