Tale of The Tape, Prediction: Louisville vs. Wake Forest

Take a look at how the Cardinals stack up against the Demon Deacons for their Wednesday matchup, and who the statistical models favor:

LOUISVILLE, Ky. - Louisville (7-4, 1-0 ACC) is set to face Wake Forest (11-1, 1-0 ACC) on Wednesday, Dec. 29 at 8:00 p.m. EST. Here's how the Cardinals stack up against the Demon Deacons:

- Rankings:

Wake Forest

Louisville

AP/USA TODAY

RV/RV

NR/NR

NET

37th

88th

RPI

85th

60th

SOS

289th

51st

KenPom

65th

52nd

Sagarin

62nd

52nd

- Team Leaders:

Wake Forest

Louisville

Points

Alondes Williams (21.0)

Malik Williams (10.9)

Rebounds

Alondes Williams (6.6)

Malik Williams (9.7)

Assists

Alondes Williams (4.9)

Jarrod West (3.8)

Steals

Jake Laravia (2.2)

Jarrod West (2.0)

Blocks

Dallas Walton (1.5)

Malik Williams (0.7)

- Scoring:

Wake Forest

Louisville

Points Per Game

81.2

70.8

Field Goal %

48.7%

41.8%

FGM/FGA Per Game

28.9/59.4

25.8/61.7

Three Point %

34.6%

30.5%

3PTM/3PTA Per Game

8.4/24.3

8.2/26.8

Free Throw %

73.7%

70.8%

- Rebounding:

Wake Forest

Louisville

Rebounds Per Game

36.1

41.0

Off. Reb. Per Game

8.6

11.5

Def. Reb. Per Game

27.5

29.5

Rebound Margin

+2.4

+4.8

- Defense:

Wake Forest

Louisville

Opp. Points Per Game

67.1

65.9

Opp. FG%

41.0%

38.7%

Opp. 3PT%

30.6%

30.2%

Steals Per Game

7.9

7.6

Blocks Per Game

3.7

2.6

- Ball Handling:

Wake Forest

Louisville

Assists Per Game

14.6

13.0

Turnovers Per Game

12.9

14.3

Turnover Margin

+2.0

-0.5

Assist/Turnover Ratio

1.1

0.9

- ESPN Prediction: Per ESPN's Basketball Power Index, Louisville has an 68.8 percent chance to win against Wake Forest.

- KenPom Prediction: Per KenPom.com, the Cardinals have a 66 percent chance to take down the Demon Deacons, with a projected final score of 73-68 in favor of Louisville. Per current metrics, Wake Forest is the highest-ranked home opponent Louisville will face until Jan. 22 vs. Notre Dame.

- Personal Prediction: Louisville 68, Wake Forest 63.

(Photo of Noah Locke: Jamie Rhodes - USA TODAY Sports)

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Published
Matthew McGavic
MATTHEW MCGAVIC

McGavic is a 2016 Sport Administration graduate of the University of Louisville, and a native of the Derby City. He has been covering the Cardinals in various capacities since 2017, with a brief stop in Atlanta, Ga. on the Georgia Tech beat. He is also a co-host of the 'From The Pink Seats' podcast on the State of Louisville network. Video gamer, bourbon drinker and dog lover. Find him on Twitter at @Matt_McGavic