Tale of The Tape, Prediction: Louisville vs. Florida State

Take a look at how the Cardinals stack up against the Seminoles for their Saturday matchup, and who the statistical models favor:

LOUISVILLE, Ky. - Louisville (10-4, 4-0 ACC) is set to face Florida State (7-5, 1-2 ACC) on Saturday, Jan 8 at 8:00 p.m. EST. Here's how the Cardinals stack up against the Seminoles:

- Rankings:

	Florida State	Louisville
AP/USA TODAY	NR/RV	NR/NR
NET	78th	82nd
RPI	76th	42nd
SOS	59th	44th
KenPom	46th	60th
Sagarin	42nd	54th
Torvik	56th	72nd

- Team Leaders:

	Florida State	Louisville
Points	Caleb Mills (12.1)	Noah Locke (11.1)
Rebounds	Malik Osborne (7.3)	Malik Williams (9.1)
Assists	Anthony Polite (2.9)	Jarrod West (3.8)
Steals	Caleb Mills (2.0)	Jarrod West (1.9)
Blocks	RayQuan Evans (0.9)	Malik Williams (0.8)

- Scoring:

	Florida State	Louisville
Points Per Game	73.2	71.0
Field Goal %	44.2%	42.4%
FGM/FGA Per Game	26.9/60.2	25.1/59.1
Three Point %	33.3%	31.4%
3PTM/3PTA Per Game	7.2/21.5	8.0/25.5
Free Throw %	70.6%	70.0%

- Rebounding:

	Florida State	Louisville
Rebounds Per Game	35.7	39.9
Off. Reb. Per Game	11.3	10.7
Def. Reb. Per Game	24.3	29.2
Rebound Margin	-0.1	+4.7

- Defense:

	Florida State	Louisville
Opp. Points Per Game	68.1	66.4
Opp. FG%	42.1%	39.2%
Opp. 3PT%	33.4%	30.6%
Steals Per Game	10.4	6.9
Blocks Per Game	5.0	2.7

- Ball Handling:

	Florida State	Louisville
Assists Per Game	14.1	13.1
Turnovers Per Game	13.7	13.8
Turnover Margin	+4.1	-1.1
Assist/Turnover Ratio	1.0	1.0

- ESPN Prediction: Per ESPN's Basketball Power Index, Louisville has a 35.6 percent chance to win against Florida State.

- KenPom Prediction: Per KenPom.com, the Cardinals have a 34 percent chance to take down the Seminoles, with a projected final score of 70-66 in favor of Florida State. Per current metrics, FSU is the highest-ranked opponent Louisville will face on the road until February 21st against North Carolina.

- Personal Prediction: Florida State 68, Louisville 61.

(Photo of Noah Locke: Jamie Rhodes - USA TODAY Sports)

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