Tale of The Tape, Prediction: Louisville vs. NC State

Take a look at how the Cardinals stack up against the Wolfpack for their Wednesday rematch, and who the statistical models favor:

LOUISVILLE, Ky. - Louisville (10-5, 4-1 ACC) is set to face NC State (8-8, 1-4 ACC) on Wednesday, Jan 12 at 9:00 p.m. EST. Here's how the Cardinals stack up against the Wolfpack:

- Rankings:

	NC State	Louisville
AP/USA TODAY	NR/NR	NR/NR
NET	135th	85th
RPI	194th	47th
SOS	123rd	34th
KenPom	115th	59th
Sagarin	108th	56th
Torvik	118th	73rd

- Team Leaders:

	NC State	Louisville
Points	Dereon Seabron (19.7)	Noah Locke (10.8)
Rebounds	Dereon Seabron (10.1)	Malik Williams (8.9)
Assists	Dereon Seabron (3.5)	Jarrod West (3.6)
Steals	Dereon Seabron (1.6)	Jarrod West (1.7)
Blocks	Ebenezer Dowuona (2.5)	Malik Williams (0.8)

- Scoring:

	NC State	Louisville
Points Per Game	76.8	70.9
Field Goal %	42.2%	42.3%
FGM/FGA Per Game	26.8/63.5	25.0/59.1
Three Point %	31.8%	31.3%
3PTM/3PTA Per Game	7.6/23.9	8.0/25.6
Free Throw %	71.1%	70.0%

- Rebounding:

	NC State	Louisville
Rebounds Per Game	37.9	39.8
Off. Reb. Per Game	12.8	10.7
Def. Reb Per Game	25.1	29.1
Rebound Margin	0.0	+4.4

- Defense:

	NC State	Louisville
Opp. Points Per Game	75.2	67.3
Opp. FG%	44.8%	39.6%
Opp. 3PT%	34.1%	30.8%
Steals Per Game	7.4	6.6
Blocks Per Game	4.3	2.5

- Ball Handling:

	NC State	Louisville
Assists Per Game	11.9	13.0
Turnovers Per Game	10.1	13.5
Turnover Margin	+2.9	-1.3
Assist/Turnover Ratio	1.2	1.0

- ESPN Prediction: Per ESPN's Basketball Power Index, Louisville has a 80.2 percent chance to win against NC State.

- KenPom Prediction: Per KenPom.com, the Cardinals have a 74 percent chance to take down the Wolfpack, with a projected final score of 76-69 in favor of Louisville. Per current metrics, the matchup with NC State kicks off a three-game stretch where Louisville plays teams all outside the KenPom top 100.

- Personal Prediction: Louisville 79, NC State 72.

(Photo of Dre Davis: University of Louisville Athletics)

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