Tale of The Tape, Prediction: Louisville vs. Pitt

Take a look at how the Cardinals stack up against the Panthers for their Saturday rematch, and who the statistical models favor:

LOUISVILLE, Ky. - Louisville (10-6, 4-2 ACC) is set to face Pitt (6-10, 1-4 ACC) on Saturday, Jan 15 at 4:00 p.m. EST. Here's how the Cardinals stack up against the Panthers:

- Rankings:

	Pitt	Louisville
AP/USA TODAY	NR/NR	NR/NR
NET	191st	106th
RPI	184th	71st
SOS	49th	34th
KenPom	176th	87th
Sagarin	146th	73rd
Torvik	176th	95th

- Team Leaders:

	Pitt	Louisville
Points	John Hugley (15.2)	Noah Locke (10.9)
Rebounds	John Hugley (8.2)	Malik Williams (8.5)
Assists	Femi Odukale (3.3)	Jarrod West (3.5)
Steals	William Jeffress (0.9)	Jarrod West (1.7)
Blocks	Mouhamadou Gueye (1.6)	Malik Williams (0.7)

- Scoring:

	Pitt	Louisville
Points Per Game	62.3	70.4
Field Goal %	41.2%	42.5%
FGM/FGA Per Game	20.6/50.1	24.9/58.5
Three Point %	31.0%	31.7%
3PTM/3PTA Per Game	4.9/15.9	7.9/24.9
Free Throw %	67.9%	69.5%

- Rebounding:

	Pitt	Louisville
Rebounds Per Game	35.7	39.3
Off. Reb. Per Game	10.8	10.6
Def. Reb. Per Game	24.9	28.8
Rebound Margin	+4.6	+4.4

- Defense:

	Pitt	Louisville
Opp. Points Per Game	65.7	68.0
Opp. FG%	41.9%	40.6%
Opp. 3PT%	34.4%	32.0%
Steals Per Game	4.8	6.5
Blocks Per Game	3.6	2.4

- Ball Handling:

	Pitt	Louisville
Assists Per Game	11.2	13.1
Turnovers Per Game	13.3	13.6
Turnover Margin	-2.9	-1.6
Assist/Turnover Ratio	0.8	1.0

- ESPN Prediction: Per ESPN's Basketball Power Index, Louisville has a 64.2 percent chance to win against Pitt.

- KenPom Prediction: Per KenPom.com, the Cardinals have a 62 percent chance to take down the Panthers, with a projected final score of 68-64 in favor of Louisville. Per current metrics, the matchup with Pitt is the middle of a three-game stretch where Louisville plays teams all outside the KenPom top 100.

- Personal Prediction: Louisville 69, Pitt 68.

(Photo of John Hugley, Malik Williams: Jamie Rhodes - USA TODAY Sports)

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