Tale of The Tape, Prediction: Louisville vs. Mississippi State

Take a look at how the Cardinals stack up against the Bulldogs for their Thursday matchup, and who the statistical models favor:

NASSAU, Bahamas - Louisville (3-1, 0-0 ACC) is set to play their first game away from home this season, facing Mississippi State (4-0, 0-0 SEC) on Thursday, Nov. 25 at 9:30 p.m. EST as part of the Baha Mar Hoops Bahamas Championship in Nassau. Here's how the Cardinals stack up against the Bulldogs:

- Rankings:

	Mississippi State	Louisville
AP/USA TODAY	RV/NR	NR/NR
NET	82nd	56th
RPI	175th	212th
SOS	336th	266th
KenPom	43rd	51st
Sagarin	40th	67th

- Team Leaders:

	Mississippi State	Louisville
Points	Iverson Molinar (15.8)	Noah Locke (16.0)
Rebounds	Garrison Brooks (7.3)	Malik Williams (9.3)
Assists	Iverson Molinar (5.3)	Mason Faulkner (3.5)
Steals	Shakeel Moore (3.0)	Jarrod West (2.3)
Blocks	Shakeel Moore (0.8)	Malik Williams (1.3)

- Scoring:

	Mississippi State	Louisville
Points Per Game	76.0	73.5
Field Goal %	52.0%	44.8%
FGM/FGA Per Game	29.5/56.8	26.8/59.8
Three Point %	45.7%	31.4%
3PTM/3PTA Per Game	8.0/17.5	8.0/25.5
Free Throw %	62.1%	67.6%

- Rebounding:

	Mississippi State	Louisville
Rebounds Per Game	40.5	39.8
Off. Reb. Per Game	11.5	9.8
Def. Reb Per Game	29.0	30.0
Rebound Margin	+13.2	+2.8

- Defense:

	Mississippi State	Louisville
Opp. Points Per Game	52.0	66.8
Opp. FG%	34.2%	38.1%
Opp. 3PT%	30.9%	32.7%
Steals Per Game	10.5	9.3
Blocks Per Game	4.0	3.0

- Ball Handling:

	Mississippi State	Louisville
Assists Per Game	15.3	14.0
Turnovers Per Game	12.5	14.3
Turnover Margin	+1.8	+0.3
Assist/Turnover Ratio	1.2	1.0

- ESPN Prediction: Per ESPN's Basketball Power Index, Louisville has a 42.1 percent chance to win against Mississippi State.

- KenPom Prediction: Per KenPom.com, the Cardinals have a 46 percent chance to take down the Bulldogs, with a projected final score of 67-66 in favor of Mississippi State. Per current metrics, Mississippi State is the third-highest ranked opponent (43rd) on Louisville's schedule, behind Michigan State (21st) and Kentucky (14th)

- Personal Prediction: Mississippi State 69, Louisville 64.

(Photo of Malik Williams: Michael Clevenger - Courier Journal via Imagn Content Services, LLC)

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