Tale of The Tape, Prediction: Louisville vs. NC State

Take a look at how the Cardinals stack up against the Wolfpack for their Saturday matchup, and who the statistical models favor:

RALEIGH, N.C. - Louisville (5-2, 0-0 ACC) is set to face N.C. State (6-1, 0-0 ACC) on Saturday, Dec. 4 at 2:00 p.m. EST. Here's how the Cardinals stack up against the Wolfpack:

- Rankings:

	NC State	Louisville
AP/USA TODAY	NR/NR	RV/NR
NET	N/A	N/A
RPI	101st	45th
SOS	232nd	35th
KenPom	66th	40th
Sagarin	85th	37th

- Team Leaders:

	NC State	Louisville
Points	Dereon Seabron (21.7)	Noah Locke (11.1)
Rebounds	Dereon Seabron (11.1)	Malik Williams (9.6)
Assists	Dereon Seabron (3.3)	Jarrod West (3.4)
Steals	Dereon Seabron (2.6)	Jarrod West (1.9)
Blocks	Ebenezer Dowuona (2.7)	Malik Williams (1.0)

- Scoring:

	NC State	Louisville
Points Per Game	81.6	70.4
Field Goal %	42.5%	42.3%
FGM/FGA Per Game	27.4/64.6	25.6/60.4
Three Point %	29.6%	29.2%
3PTM/3PTA Per Game	6.9/23.1	7.4/25.4
Free Throw %	73.2%	67.5%

- Rebounding:

	NC State	Louisville
Rebounds Per Game	41.7	41.1
Off. Reb. Per Game	13.9	11.6
Def. Reb. Per Game	27.9	29.6
Rebound Margin	+2.7	+5.7

- Defense:

	NC State	Louisville
Opp. Points Per Game	74.4	64.7
Opp. FG%	41.8%	38.5%
Opp. 3PT%	32.3%	32.4%
Steals Per Game	8.6	8.6
Blocks Per Game	5.4	2.9

- Ball Handling:

	NC State	Louisville
Assists Per Game	11.9	12.4
Turnovers Per Game	11.0	15.0
Turnover Margin	+3.0	-0.6
Assist/Turnover Ratio	1.1	0.8

- ESPN Prediction: Per ESPN's Basketball Power Index, Louisville has a 48.0 percent chance to win against NC State.

- KenPom Prediction: Per KenPom.com, the Cardinals have a 49 percent chance to take down the Wolfpack, with a projected final score of 70-69 in favor of NC State. Per current metrics, NC State is the highest ranked opponent on Louisville's schedule until they face Kentucky (11th) on Dec. 22.

- Personal Prediction: Louisville 72, NC State 70.

(Photo of Christen Cunningham, D.J. Funderburk: Jamie Rhodes - USA TODAY Sports)

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