Tale of The Tape, Predictions: Louisville vs. Western Kentucky

Take a look at how the Cardinals stack up against the Hilltoppers for their Wednesday matchup, and who the statistical models favor:

LOUISVILLE, Ky. - Louisville (0-9, 0-2 ACC) is set to face Western Kentucky (8-1, 0-0 C-USA) on Wednesday, Dec. 14 at 9:00 p.m. EST at the KFC Yum! Center. Here's how the Cardinals stack up against the Hilltoppers:

- Rankings:

Western Kentucky

Louisville

AP/USA TODAY

NR/NR

NR/NR

NET

125th

360th

RPI

80th

329th

SOS

252nd

120th

BPI

105th

308th

KenPom

111st

237th

Torvik

132nd

282nd

Sagarin

116th

244th

- Team Leaders:

Western Kentucky

Louisville

Points

Dayvion McKnight (14.3)

El Ellis (15.6)

Rebounds

Jamarion Sharp (6.3)

Brandon Huntley-Hatfield (6.2)

Assists

Dayvion McKnight (5.3)

El Ellis (3.4)

Steals

Dayvion McKnight (2.1)

Jae'Lyn Withers (1.0)

Blocks

Jamarion Sharp (4.8)

Brandon Huntley-Hatfield (0.7)

- Scoring:

Western Kentucky

Louisville

Points Per Game

76.9

56.9

Field Goal %

48.2%

37.2%

FGM/FGA Per Game

27.9/57.9

19.4/52.3

Three Point %

43.3%

28.8%

3PTM/3PTA Per Game

9.3/21.6

5.4/18.9

Free Throw %

68.8%

72.4%

- Rebounding:

Western Kentucky

Louisville

Rebounds Per Game

35.8

32.2

Off. Reb. Per Game

8.2

8.0

Def. Reb. Per Game

27.6

24.2

Rebound Margin

0.4

-2.5

- Defense:

Western Kentucky

Louisville

Opp. Points Per Game

63.6

74.0

Opp. FG%

39.0%

48.0%

Opp. 3PT%

30.9%

34.0%

Steals Per Game

7.1

4.8

Blocks Per Game

6.3

2.4

- Ball Handling:

Western Kentucky

Louisville

Assists Per Game

16.9

8.0

Turnovers Per Game

11.3

17.0

Turnover Margin

2.1

-4.8

Assist/Turnover Ratio

1.5

0.5

- ESPN Prediction: Per ESPN's Basketball Power Index, Louisville has a 23.9 percent chance to win against Western Kentucky.

- KenPom Prediction: Per KenPom.com, the Cardinals have a 37 percent chance to take down the Hilltoppers, with a projected final score of 68-65 in favor of Western Kentucky. By current metrics, WKU is one six remaining teams outside the top-100 that Louisville will face for the rest of the season.

- Torvik Prediction: Per BartTorvik.com, the Cardinals have a 29 percent chance to take down the Hilltoppers, with a projected final score of 68-63 in favor of Western Kentucky. By current metrics, WKU is one seven remaining teams outside the top-100 that Louisville will face for the rest of the season.

- Personal Prediction: Western Kentucky 70, Louisville 61.

(Photo of El Ellis: Jared Anderson - Louisville Report)

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Published
Matthew McGavic
MATTHEW MCGAVIC

McGavic is a 2016 Sport Administration graduate of the University of Louisville, and a native of the Derby City. He has been covering the Cardinals in various capacities since 2017, with a brief stop in Atlanta, Ga. on the Georgia Tech beat. He is also a co-host of the 'From The Pink Seats' podcast on the State of Louisville network. Video gamer, bourbon drinker and dog lover. Find him on Twitter at @Matt_McGavic