Tale of The Tape, Predictions: Louisville vs. NC State

Take a look at how the Cardinals stack up against the Wolfpack for their Thursday matchup, and who the statistical models favor:

LOUISVILLE, Ky. - Louisville (2-10, 0-2 ACC) is set to face NC State (10-3, 0-2 ACC) on Thursday, Dec. 22 at 7:00 p.m. EST at the PNC Center. Here's how the Cardinals stack up against the Wolfpack:

- Rankings:

	NC State	Louisville
AP/USA TODAY	NR/NR	NR/NR
NET	42nd	346th
RPI	58th	320th
SOS	117th	153rd
BPI	47th	322nd
KenPom	49th	253rd
Torvik	29th	306th
Sagarin	45th	242nd

- Team Leaders:

	NC State	Louisville
Points	Terquavion Smith (18.2)	El Ellis (17.3)
Rebounds	Jack Clark (6.8)	Brandon Huntley-Hatfield (5.8)
Assists	Terquavion Smith (5.5)	El Ellis (4.5)
Steals	Jack Clark (2.1)	Jae'Lyn Withers (0.9)
Blocks	Ernest Ross (0.9)	Brandon Huntley-Hatfield (0.8)

- Scoring:

	NC State	Louisville
Points Per Game	81.0	61.2
Field Goal %	46.8%	39.3%
FGM/FGA Per Game	29.6/63.3	20.6/52.4
Three Point %	35.6%	31.3%
3PTM/3PTA Per Game	9.1/25.5	5.9/18.9
Free Throw %	71.1%	75.4%

- Rebounding:

	NC State	Louisville
Rebounds Per Game	38.2	32.5
Off. Reb. Per Game	11.5	8.3
Def. Reb. Per Game	26.8	24.2
Rebound Margin	+4.5	-2.5

- Defense:

	NC State	Louisville
Opp. Points Per Game	67.8	73.3
Opp. FG%	42.8%	46.8%
Opp. 3P%	30.9%	33.1%
Steals Per Game	9.5	5.1
Blocks Per Game	4.5	2.8

- Ball Handling:

	NC State	Louisville
Assists Per Game	14.9	9.0
Turnovers Per Game	11.5	16.5
Turnover Margin	+3.3	-3.8
Assist/Turnover Ratio	1.3	0.5

- ESPN Prediction: Per ESPN's Basketball Power Index, Louisville has a 2.8 percent chance to win against NC State.

- KenPom Prediction: Per KenPom.com, the Cardinals have a 5 percent chance to take down the Wolfpack, with a projected final score of 81-63 in favor of NC State.

- Torvik Prediction: Per BartTorvik.com, the Cardinals have a 2 percent chance to take down the Wolfpack, with a projected final score of 84-61 in favor of NC State.

- Personal Prediction: NC State 85, Louisville 59.

(Photo of J.J. Traynor: Jared Anderson - Louisville Report)

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