Tale of The Tape, Predictions: Louisville vs. North Carolina

Take a look at how the Cardinals stack up against the Tar Heels for their Saturday matchup, and who the statistical models favor:

LOUISVILLE, Ky. - Louisville (2-15, 0-6 ACC) is set to face North Carolina (11-6, 3-3 ACC) on Saturday, Jan. 13 at 2:00 p.m. EST at the KFC Yum! Center. Here's how the Cardinals stack up against the Tar Heels:

- Rankings:

	North Carolina	Louisville
AP/USA TODAY	RV/RV	NR/NR
NET	32nd	342nd
RPI	18th	306th
SOS	3rd	85th
BPI	29th	307th
KenPom	23rrd	276th
Torvik	34th	315th
Sagarin	26th	214th

- Team Leaders:

	North Carolina	Louisville
Points	Armando Bacot (17.6)	El Ellis (17.5)
Rebounds	Armando Bacot (10.6)	Brandon Huntley-Hatfield (6.0)
Assists	Caleb Love (3.5)	El Ellis (4.7)
Steals	Leaky Black (1.4)	El Ellis (1.2)
Blocks	Armando Bacot (1.3)	Brandon Huntley-Hatfield (0.8)

- Scoring:

	North Carolina	Louisville
Points Per Game	80.0	63.1
Field Goal %	45.9%	40.9%
FGM/FGA Per Game	27.6/60.1	21.6/52.8
Three Point %	32.0%	32.8%
3PTM/3PTA Per Game	6.8/21.1	6.2/19.0
Free Throw %	73.3%	71.6%

- Rebounding:

	North Carolina	Louisville
Rebounds Per Game	39.5	32.2
Off. Reb. Per Game	10.4	9.1
Def. Reb. Per Game	29.1	23.1
Rebound Margin	4.4	-2.1

- Defense:

	North Carolina	Louisville
Opp. Points Per Game	73.7	74.9
Opp. FG%	43.5%	47.5%
Opp. 3PT%	34.7%	34.8%
Steals Per Game	6.1	5.5
Blocks Per Game	4.2	2.8

- Ball Handling:

	North Carolina	Louisville
Assists Per Game	13.0	9.1
Turnovers Per Game	11.4	16.6
Turnover Margin	0.1	-4.3
Assist/Turnover Ratio	1.1	0.5

- ESPN Prediction: Per ESPN's Basketball Power Index, Louisville has a 7.0 percent chance to win against North Carolina.

- KenPom Prediction: Per KenPom.com, the Cardinals have an 8 percent chance to take down the Tar Heels, with a projected final score of 80-64 in favor of North Carolina.

- Torvik Prediction: Per BartTorvik.com, the Cardinals have an 8 percent chance to take down the Tar Heels, with a projected final score of 80-65 in favor of North Carolina.

- Personal Prediction: North Carolina 82, Louisville 69.

(Photo of El Ellis, Brady Manek, Armando Bacot: Bob Donnan - USA TODAY Sports)

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