Tale of The Tape, Predictions: Louisville vs. Miami

Take a look at how the Cardinals stack up against the Hurricanes for their Saturday matchup, and who the statistical models favor:

LOUISVILLE, Ky. - Louisville (3-21, 1-12 ACC) is set to face Miami (19-5, 10-4 ACC) on Saturday, Feb. 11 at 7:00 p.m. EST at the Watsco Center. Here's how the Cardinals stack up against the Hurricanes:

- Rankings:

Miami

Louisville

AP/USA TODAY

19th/20th

NR/NR

NET

30th

330th

RPI

17th

315th

SOS

48th

97th

BPI

34th

308th

KenPom

30th

301st

Torvik

30th

304th

Sagarin

28th

231st

- Team Leaders:

Miami

Louisville

Points

Isaiah Wong (16.0)

El Ellis (16.8)

Rebounds

Norchad Omier (10.1)

Brandon Huntley-Hatfield (6.0)

Assists

Isaiah Wong (3.5)

El Ellis (4.8)

Steals

Isaiah Wong (1.5)

El Ellis (1.0)

Blocks

Norchad Omier (1.4)

Brandon Huntley-Hatfield (0.8)

- Scoring:

Miami

Louisville

Points Per Game

78.4

63.1

Field Goal %

48.1%

41.0%

FGM/FGA Per Game

28.6/59.5

21.8/53.2

Three Point %

36.1%

33.1%

3PTM/3PTA Per Game

7.7/21.2

6.5/19.7

Free Throw %

76.8%

72.3%

- Rebounding:

Miami

Louisville

Rebounds Per Game

34.9

32.6

Off. Reb. Per Game

10.6

9.3

Def. Reb Per Game

24.3

23.3

Rebound Margin

2.2

-1.4

- Defense:

Miami

Louisville

Opp. Points Per Game

69.8

75.4

Opp. FG%

43.5%

47.1%

Opp. 3PT%

32.4%

35.7%

Steals Per Game

7.7

4.9

Blocks Per Game

3.6

2.8

- Ball Handling:

Miami

Louisville

Assists Per Game

15.1

9.4

Turnovers Per Game

11.5

16.0

Turnover Margin

1.4

-4.5

Assist/Turnover Ratio

1.3

0.6

- ESPN Prediction: Per ESPN's Basketball Power Index, Louisville has a 1.3 percent chance to win against Miami.

- KenPom Prediction: Per KenPom.com, the Cardinals have a 2 percent chance to take down the Hurricanes, with a projected final score of 86-64 in favor of Miami.

- Torvik Prediction: Per BartTorvik.com, the Cardinals have a 3 percent chance to take down the Hurricanes, with a projected final score of 87-63 in favor of Miami.

- Personal Prediction: Miami 83, Louisville 60.

(Photo of Kamari Lands, Isaiah Wong: Jamie Rhodes - USA TODAY Sports)

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Published
Matthew McGavic
MATTHEW MCGAVIC

McGavic is a 2016 Sport Administration graduate of the University of Louisville, and a native of the Derby City. He has been covering the Cardinals in various capacities since 2017, with a brief stop in Atlanta, Ga. on the Georgia Tech beat. He is also a co-host of the 'From The Pink Seats' podcast on the State of Louisville network. Video gamer, bourbon drinker and dog lover. Find him on Twitter at @Matt_McGavic