Tale of The Tape, Predictions: Louisville vs. Duke

Take a look at how the Cardinals stack up against the Blue Devils for their Monday matchup, and who the statistical models favor:

LOUISVILLE, Ky. - Louisville (4-23, 2-14 ACC) is set to face Duke (19-8, 10-6 ACC) on Monday, Feb. 20 at 7:00 p.m. EST at Cameron Indoor Stadium. Here's how the Cardinals stack up against the Blue Devils:

- Rankings:

	Duke	Louisville
AP/USA TODAY	NR/RV	NR/NR
NET	25th	307th
RPI	17th	303rd
SOS	20th	59th
BPI	29th	287th
KenPom	34th	277th
Torvik	35th	267th
Sagarin	37th	218th

- Team Leaders:

	Duke	Louisville
Points	Kyle Filipowski (15.1)	El Ellis (18.0)
Rebounds	Kyle Filipowski (9.2)	Brandon Huntley-Hatfield (5.6)
Assists	Tyrese Proctor (3.0)	El Ellis (4.6)
Steals	Kyle Filipowski (1.2)	El Ellis (0.9)
Blocks	Dereck Lively II (2.3)	Brandon Huntley-Hatfield (0.7)

- Scoring:

	Duke	Louisville
Points Per Game	71.6	64.5
Field Goal %	44.1%	42.1%
FGM/FGA Per Game	25.8/58.5	22.3/53.1
Three Point %	33.2%	33.7%
3PTM/3PTA Per Game	7.0/21.0	6.6/19.7
Free Throw %	76.8%	73.9%

- Rebounding:

	Duke	Louisville
Rebounds Per Game	39.4	32.4
Off. Reb. Per Game	12.9	8.9
Def. Reb. Per Game	26.5	23.4
Rebound Margin	8.5	-0.9

- Defense:

	Duke	Louisville
Opp. Points Per Game	64.0	75.4
Opp. FG%	41.3%	47.0%
Opp. 3PT%	30.4%	35.0%
Steals Per Game	5.7	4.7
Blocks Per Game	4.7	2.8

- Ball Handling:

	Duke	Louisville
Assists Per Game	14.8	9.4
Turnovers Per Game	12.8	15.5
Turnover Margin	-1.3	-4.6
Assist/Turnover Ratio	1.2	0.6

- ESPN Prediction: Per ESPN's Basketball Power Index, Louisville has a 1.7 percent chance to win against Duke.

- KenPom Prediction: Per KenPom.com, the Cardinals have a 4 percent chance to take down the Blue Devils, with a projected final score of 78-58 in favor of Duke.

- Torvik Prediction: Per BartTorvik.com, the Cardinals have a 4 percent chance to take down the Blue Devils, with a projected final score of 77-59 in favor of Duke.

- Personal Prediction: Duke 75, Louisville 65.

(Photo of El Ellis: Jamie Rhodes - USA TODAY Sports)

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