Tale of The Tape, Predictions: Louisville vs. Virginia

Take a look at how the Cardinals stack up against the Cavaliers for their Saturday matchup, and who the statistical models favor:

LOUISVILLE, Ky. - Louisville (4-26, 2-17 ACC) is set to face Virginia (22-6, 14-5 ACC) on Saturday, Mar. 4 at 2:00 p.m. EST at John Paul Jones Arena. Here's how the Cardinals stack up against the Cavaliers:

- Rankings:

	Virginia	Louisville
AP/USA TODAY	13th/12th	NR/NR
NET	30th	309th
RPI	13th	307th
SOS	46th	64th
BPI	24th	295th
KenPom	38th	284th
Torvik	34th	279th
Sagarin	37th	218th

- Team Leaders:

	Virginia	Louisville
Points	Armaan Franklin (12.4)	El Ellis (17.8)
Rebounds	Jayden Gardner (5.5)	Brandon Huntley-Hatfield (5.5)
Assists	Kihei Clark (5.7)	El Ellis (4.4)
Steals	Reece Beekman (1.6)	El Ellis (0.9)
Blocks	Kadin Shedrick (1.2)	Brandon Huntley-Hatfield (0.7)

- Scoring:

	Virginia	Louisville
Points Per Game	67.9	64.1
Field Goal %	44.5%	42.2%
FGM/FGA Per Game	23.9/50.1	22.6/53.5
Three Point %	36.0%	33.2%
3PTM/3PTA Per Game	7.1/18.3	6.4/19.3
Free Throw %	69.7%	73.7%

- Rebounding:

	Virginia	Louisville
Rebounds Per Game	32.3	32.6
Off. Reb. Per Game	7.8	9.3
Def. Reb. Per Game	22.3	23.3
Rebound Margin	0.3	-0.7

- Defense:

	Virginia	Louisville
Opp. Points Per Game	60.5	75.7
Opp. FG%	41.9%	46.8%
Opp. 3PT%	34.6%	35.5%
Steals Per Game	6.9	4.6
Blocks Per Game	4.2	2.8

- Ball Handling:

	Virginia	Louisville
Assists Per Game	15.8	9.4
Turnovers Per Game	8.7	15.2
Turnover Margin	3.8	-4.7
Assist/Turnover Ratio	1.8	0.6

- ESPN Prediction: Per ESPN's Basketball Power Index, Louisville has a 1.5 percent chance to win against Virginia.

- KenPom Prediction: Per KenPom.com, the Cardinals have a 4 percent chance to take down the Cavaliers, with a projected final score of 74-55 in favor of Virginia.

- Torvik Prediction: Per BartTorvik.com, the Cardinals have a 4 percent chance to take down the Cavaliers, with a projected final score of 73-55 in favor of Virginia.

- Personal Prediction: Virginia 70, Louisville 59.

(Photo of El Ellis: Jamie Rhodes - USA TODAY Sports)

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