Tale of The Tape, Predictions: Louisville vs. NC State

Take a look at how the Cardinals stack up against the Wolfpack for their matchup, and who the statistical models favor:

LOUISVILLE, Ky. - Louisville (6-9, 1-3 ACC) is set to face NC State (11-4, 3-1 ACC) on Saturday, Jan. 13 at 12:00 p.m. EST from the KFC Yum! Center. Here's how the Cardinals stack up against the Wolfpack:

- Rankings:

NC State

Louisville

AP/USA TODAY

RV/NR

NR/NR

NET

71st

236th

RPI

80th

261st

SOS

120th

190th

BPI

57th

235th

KenPom

67th

188th

Torvik

70th

206th

- Team Leaders:

NC State

Louisville

Points

D.J. Horne (13.9)

Skyy Clark (14.5)

Rebounds

Mohamed Diarra (4.9)

Brandon Huntley-Hatfield (8.6)

Assists

Michael O'Connell (2.9)

Ty-Laur Johnson (3.4)

Steals

D.J. Horne (1.5)

Ty-Laur Johnson (1.1)

Blocks

D.J. Burns Jr. (0.7)

Brandon Huntley-Hatfield (0.9)

- Scoring:

NC State

Louisville

Points Per Game

76.1

73.2

Field Goal %

43.8%

42.8%

FGM/FGA Per Game

27.7/63.3

24.9/58.1

Three Point %

32.7%

31.0%

3PTM/3PTA Per Game

7.5/22.8

5.9/19.1

Free Throw %

70.2%

74.5%

FTM/FTA Per Game

13.2/18.8

17.5/23.5

- Rebounding:

NC State

Louisville

Rebounds Per Game

36.7

36.7

Off. Reb. Per Game

11.1

11.3

Def. Reb. Per Game

25.5

25.4

Rebound Margin

-0.7

1.6

- Defense:

NC State

Louisville

Opp. Points Per Game

68.1

75.7

Opp. FG%

42.6%

45.2%

Opp. 3P%

33.1%

31.8%

Steals Per Game

7.6

5.5

Blocks Per Game

2.8

3.1

- Ball Handling:

NC State

Louisville

Assists Per Game

13.4

11.6

Turnovers Per Game

8.7

12.7

Turnover Margin

5.2

-0.9

Assist/Turnover Ratio

1.5

0.9

- ESPN Prediction: Per ESPN's Basketball Power Index, Louisville has a 20.4 percent chance to win against NC State.

- KenPom Prediction: Per KenPom.com, the Cardinals have a 29 percent chance to take down the Wolfpack, with a projected final score of 76-70 in favor of NC State.

- Torvik Prediction: Per BartTorvik.com, the Cardinals have a 28 percent chance to take down the Wolfpack, with a projected final score of 77-71 in favor of NC State.

- Personal Prediction: NC State 79, Louisville 69.

(Photo of

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Matthew McGavic
MATTHEW MCGAVIC

McGavic is a 2016 Sport Administration graduate of the University of Louisville, and a native of the Derby City. He has been covering the Cardinals in various capacities since 2017, with a brief stop in Atlanta, Ga. on the Georgia Tech beat. He is also a co-host of the 'From The Pink Seats' podcast on the State of Louisville network. Video gamer, bourbon drinker and dog lover. Find him on Twitter at @Matt_McGavic