Tale of The Tape, Predictions: Louisville vs. Duke

Take a look at how the Cardinals stack up against the Blue Devils for their matchup, and who the statistical models favor:

LOUISVILLE, Ky. - Louisville (6-12, 1-6 ACC) is set to face Duke (13-4, 4-2 ACC) on Tuesday, Jan. 23 at 7:00 p.m. EST from the KFC Yum! Center. Here's how the Cardinals stack up against the Blue Devils:

- Rankings:

Duke

Louisville

AP/USA TODAY

7th/6th

NR/NR

NET

19th

225th

RPI

63rd

257th

SOS

99th

117th

BPI

9th

231st

KenPom

13th

193rd

Torvik

24th

211th

- Team Leaders:

Duke

Louisville

Points

Kyle Filipowski (18.2)

Mike James (14.1)

Rebounds

Kyle Filipowski (8.6)

Brandon Huntley-Hatfield (8.3)

Assists

Tyrese Proctor (3.9)

Ty-Laur Johnson (3.5)

Steals

Jeremy Roach (1.5)

Ty-Laur Johnson (1.1)

Blocks

Kyle Filipowski (1.9)

Brandon Huntley-Hatfield (0.9)

- Scoring:

Duke

Louisville

Points Per Game

81.6

73.1

Field Goal %

48.3%

43.6%

FGM/FGA Per Game

28.6/59.3

25.3/58.2

Three Point %

37.9%

32.3%

3PTM/3PTA Per Game

8.2/21.7

5.9/18.4

Free Throw %

74.7%

73.9%

FTM/FTA Per Game

16.1/21.6

16.5/22.3

- Rebounding:

Duke

Louisville

Rebounds Per Game

35.5

35.2

Off. Reb. Per Game

9.6

10.4

Def. Reb. Per Game

25.9

24.8

Rebound Margin

3.6

-0.1

- Defense:

Duke

Louisville

Opp. Points Per Game

66.9

77.8

Opp. FG%

43.3%

46.2%

Opp. 3P%

34.5%

35.0%

Steals Per Game

7.1

5.3

Blocks Per Game

4.1

2.8

Turnovers Forced Per Game

13.1

11.7

- Ball Handling:

Duke

Louisville

Assists Per Game

16.4

11.5

Turnovers Per Game

9.3

12.2

Turnover Margin

3.8

-0.5

Assist/Turnover Ratio

1.8

0.9

- ESPN Prediction: Per ESPN's Basketball Power Index, Louisville has a 5.8 percent chance to win against Duke.

- KenPom Prediction: Per KenPom.com, the Cardinals have a 10 percent chance to take down the Blue Devils, with a projected final score of 84-70 in favor of Duke.

- Torvik Prediction: Per BartTorvik.com, the Cardinals have a 14 percent chance to take down the Blue Devils, with a projected final score of 84-72 in favor of Duke.

- Personal Prediction: Duke 89, Louisville 74.

(Photo of J.J. Traynor, Kyle Filipowski: Rob Kinnan - USA TODAY Sports)

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Published
Matthew McGavic
MATTHEW MCGAVIC

McGavic is a 2016 Sport Administration graduate of the University of Louisville, and a native of the Derby City. He has been covering the Cardinals in various capacities since 2017, with a brief stop in Atlanta, Ga. on the Georgia Tech beat. He is also a co-host of the 'From The Pink Seats' podcast on the State of Louisville network. Video gamer, bourbon drinker and dog lover. Find him on Twitter at @Matt_McGavic