Tale of The Tape, Predictions: Louisville vs. Virginia

Take a look at how the Cardinals stack up against the Cavaliers for their matchup, and who the statistical models favor:

LOUISVILLE, Ky. - Louisville (6-13, 1-7 ACC) is set to face Virginia (14-5, 5-3 ACC) on Saturday, Jan. 27 at 12:00 p.m. EST from the KFC Yum! Center. Here's how the Cardinals stack up against the Cavaliers:

- Rankings:

Virginia

Louisville

AP/USA TODAY

NR/NR

NR/NR

NET

53rd

221st

RPI

42nd

252nd

SOS

80th

105th

BPI

45th

230th

KenPom

64th

195th

Torvik

69th

208th

- Team Leaders:

Virginia

Louisville

Points

Reece Beekman (13.1)

Mike James 914.0)

Rebounds

Ryan Dunn (7.1)

Brandon Huntley-Hatfield (8.5)

Assists

Reece Beekman (6.1)

Ty-Laur Johnson (3.3)

Steals

Reece Beekman (2.3)

Ty-Laur Johnson (1.1)

Blocks

Ryan Dunn (2.3)

Brandon Huntley-Hatfield (0.9)

- Scoring:

Virginia

Louisville

Points Per Game

65.2

72.9

Field Goal %

44.2%

43.7%

FGM/FGA Per Game

24.5/55.4

25.3/57.8

Three Point %

35.7%

32.2%

3PTM/3PTA Per Game

6.4/18.0

5.9/18.3

Free Throw %

64.8%

73.5%

FTM/FTA Per Game

9.8/15.1

16.5/22.4

- Rebounding:

Virginia

Louisville

Rebounds Per Game

33.3

34.8

Off. Reb. Per Game

8.9

10.2

Def. Reb. Per Game

24.4

24.6

Rebound Margin

-1.1

-0.9

- Defense:

Virginia

Louisville

Opp. Points Per Game

57.9

78.1

Opp. FG%

39.4%

46.2%

Opp. 3P%

31.5%

35.0%

Steals Per Game

8.1

5.3

Blocks Per Game

4.9

2.7

Turnovers Forced Per Game

13.5

11.5

- Ball Handling:

Virginia

Louisville

Assists Per Game

15.6

11.4

Turnovers Per Game

8.6

12.1

Turnover Margin

4.9

-0.6

Assist/Turnover Ratio

1.8

0.9

- ESPN Prediction: Per ESPN's Basketball Power Index, Louisville has a 15.9 percent chance to win against Virginia.

- KenPom Prediction: Per KenPom.com, the Cardinals have a 29 percent chance to take down the Cavaliers, with a projected final score of 68-62 in favor of Virginia.

- Torvik Prediction: Per BartTorvik.com, the Cardinals have a 27 percent chance to take down the Cavaliers, with a projected final score of 66-61 in favor of Virginia.

- Personal Prediction: Virginia 71, Louisville 58.

(Photo of Brandon Huntley-Hatfield: Geoff Burke - USA TODAY Sports)

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Published
Matthew McGavic
MATTHEW MCGAVIC

McGavic is a 2016 Sport Administration graduate of the University of Louisville, and a native of the Derby City. He has been covering the Cardinals in various capacities since 2017, with a brief stop in Atlanta, Ga. on the Georgia Tech beat. He is also a co-host of the 'From The Pink Seats' podcast on the State of Louisville network. Video gamer, bourbon drinker and dog lover. Find him on Twitter at @Matt_McGavic