Tale of The Tape, Predictions: Louisville vs. Pitt

Take a look at how the Cardinals stack up against the Panthers for their matchup, and who the statistical models favor:

LOUISVILLE, Ky. - Louisville (8-17, 3-11 ACC) is set to face Pitt (16-8, 7-6 ACC) on Saturday, Feb. 17 at 6:30 p.m. EST from the Petersen Events Center. Here's how the Cardinals stack up against the Panthers:

- Rankings:

Pitt

Louisville

AP/USA TODAY

NR/NR

NR/NR

NET

52nd

179th

RPI

87th

242nd

SOS

101st

102nd

BPI

38th

190th

KenPom

57th

165th

Torvik

63rd

174th

- Team Leaders:

Pitt

Louisville

Points

Blake Hinson (18.3)

Mike James (13.5)

Rebounds

Ishmael Leggett (5.5)

Brandon Huntley-Hatfield (8.7)

Assists

Carlton Carrington (4.3)

Ty-Laur Johnson (3.9)

Steals

Ishmael Leggett (1.3)

Ty-Laur Johnson (1.3)

Blocks

Federiko Federiko (1.5)

Brandon Huntley-Hatfield (0.8)

- Scoring:

Pitt

Louisville

Points Per Game

75.2

74.0

Field Goal %

43.2%

43.9%

FGM/FGA Per Game

26.1/60.4

25.4/57.9

Three Point %

34.4%

31.3%

3PTM/3PTA Per Game

9.3/27.1

5.6/17.9

Free Throw %

69.9%

75.1%

FTM/FTA Per Game

13.7/19.6

17.6/23.4

- Rebounding:

Pitt

Louisville

Rebounds Per Game

38.3

35.6

Off. Reb. Per Game

12.0

10.8

Def. Reb. Per Game

26.3

24.8

Rebound Margin

5.1

1.4

- Defense:

Pitt

Louisville

Opp. Points Per Game

66.5

78.6

Opp. FG%

42.0%

46.9%

Opp. 3P%

30.1%

35.3%

Steals Per Game

6.5

5.5

Blocks Per Game

4.9

2.5

Turnovers Forced Per Game

11.3

11.8

- Ball Handling:

Pitt

Louisville

Assists Per Game

13.6

11.2

Turnovers Per Game

9.8

12.9

Turnover Margin

1.5

-1.1

Assist/Turnover Ratio

1.4

0.9

- ESPN Prediction: Per ESPN's Basketball Power Index, Louisville has a 5.6 percent chance to win against Pitt.

- KenPom Prediction: Per KenPom.com, the Cardinals have a 12 percent chance to take down the Panthers, with a projected final score of 80-67 in favor of Pitt.

- Torvik Prediction: Per BartTorvik.com, the Cardinals have a 11 percent chance to take down the Panthers, with a projected final score of 81-67 in favor of Pitt.

- Personal Prediction: Pitt 87, Louisville 73.

(Photo of Kaleb Glenn: Jamie Rhodes - USA TODAY Sports)

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Published
Matthew McGavic
MATTHEW MCGAVIC

McGavic is a 2016 Sport Administration graduate of the University of Louisville, and a native of the Derby City. He has been covering the Cardinals in various capacities since 2017, with a brief stop in Atlanta, Ga. on the Georgia Tech beat. He is also a co-host of the 'From The Pink Seats' podcast on the State of Louisville network. Video gamer, bourbon drinker and dog lover. Find him on Twitter at @Matt_McGavic