Tale of The Tape, Predictions: Louisville vs. Duke

Take a look at how the Cardinals stack up against the Blue Devils for their matchup, and who the statistical models favor:

LOUISVILLE, Ky. - Louisville (8-19, 3-13 ACC) is set to face Duke (21-6, 12-4 ACC) on Wednesday, Feb. 28 at 7:00 p.m. EST from Cameron Indoor Stadium. Here's how the Cardinals stack up against the Blue Devils:

- Rankings:

Duke

Louisville

AP/USA TODAY

8th/7th

NR/NR

NET

10th

206th

RPI

25th

269th

SOS

79th

111th

BPI

9th

216th

KenPom

9th

190th

Torvik

12th

198th

- Team Leaders:

Duke

Louisville

Points

Kyle Filipowski (16.9)

Skyy Clark (13.3)

Rebounds

Kyle Filipowski (8.2)

Brandon Huntley-Hatfield (8.4)

Assists

Tyrese Proctor (3.6)

Ty-Laur Johnson (3.8)

Steals

Jeremy Roach (1.2)

Ty-Laur Johnson (1.2)

Blocks

Kyle Filipowski (1.7)

Brandon Huntley-Hatfield (0.9)

- Scoring:

Duke

Louisville

Points Per Game

80.4

72.6

Field Goal %

48.3%

43.5%

FGM/FGA Per Game

28.3/58.7

25.0/57.4

Three Point %

38.2%

30.4%

3PTM/3PTA Per Game

8.4/22.0

5.4/17.7

Free Throw %

73.0%

74.8%

FTM/FTA Per Game

15.3/21.0

17.3/23.1

- Rebounding:

Duke

Louisville

Rebounds Per Game

36.3

35.3

Off. Reb. Per Game

10.1

10.4

Def. Reb. Per Game

26.2

24.9

Rebound Margin

4.8

0.8

- Defense:

Duke

Louisville

Opp. Points Per Game

67.7

78.6

Opp. FG%

43.2%

46.6%

Opp. 3P%

32.4%

36.3%

Steals Per Game

6.4

5.2

Blocks Per Game

3.7

2.7

Turnovers Forced Per Game

11.6

11.3

- Ball Handling:

Duke

Louisville

Assists Per Game

15.4

11.1

Turnovers Per Game

9.9

12.8

Turnover Margin

1.7

-1.5

Assist/Turnover Ratio

1.6

0.9

- ESPN Prediction: Per ESPN's Basketball Power Index, Louisville has a 1.3 percent chance to win against Duke.

- KenPom Prediction: Per KenPom.com, the Cardinals have a two percent chance to take down the Blue Devils, with a projected final score of 88-66 in favor of Duke.

- Torvik Prediction: Per BartTorvik.com, the Cardinals have a three percent chance to take down the Blue Devils, with a projected final score of 89-67 in favor of Duke.

- Personal Prediction: Duke 91, Louisville 75.

(Photo of Curtis Williams: Jamie Rhodes - USA TODAY Sports)

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Published
Matthew McGavic
MATTHEW MCGAVIC

McGavic is a 2016 Sport Administration graduate of the University of Louisville, and a native of the Derby City. He has been covering the Cardinals in various capacities since 2017, with a brief stop in Atlanta, Ga. on the Georgia Tech beat. He is also a co-host of the 'From The Pink Seats' podcast on the State of Louisville network. Video gamer, bourbon drinker and dog lover. Find him on Twitter at @Matt_McGavic