Tale of The Tape, Predictions: Louisville vs. Syracuse

Take a look at how the Cardinals stack up against the Orange for their matchup, and who the statistical models favor:

LOUISVILLE, Ky. - Louisville (8-20, 3-14 ACC) is set to face Syracuse (19-10, 10-8 ACC) on Saturday, Mar. 2 at 8:00 p.m. EST from the KFC Yum! Center. Here's how the Cardinals stack up against the Orange:

- Rankings:

Syracuse

Louisville

AP/USA TODAY

NR/NR

NR/NR

NET

81st

209th

RPI

33rd

266th

SOS

7th

101st

BPI

95th

219th

KenPom

78th

191st

Torvik

72nd

199th

- Team Leaders:

Syracuse

Louisville

Points

Judah Mintz (18.6)

Skyy Clark (13.2)

Rebounds

Maliq Brown (6.8)

Brandon Huntley-Hatfield (8.5)

Assists

Judah Mintz (4.4)

Ty-Laur Johnson (3.8)

Steals

Maliq Brown (2.2)

Ty-Laur Johnson (1.3)

Blocks

Naheem McLeod (1.9)

Brandon Huntley-Hatfield (0.9)

- Scoring:

Syracuse

Louisville

Points Per Game

76.6

72.1

Field Goal %

45.8%

43.4%

FGM/FGA Per Game

27.7/60.4

24.9/57.3

Three Point %

33.3%

30.0%

3PTM/3PTA Per Game

6.9/20.7

5.3/17.6

Free Throw %

72.6%

74.1%

FTM/FTA Per Game

14.3/19.8

17.0/22.9

- Rebounding:

Syracuse

Louisville

Rebounds Per Game

33.7

34.9

Off. Reb. Per Game

8.9

10.3

Def. Reb. Per Game

24.7

24.6

Rebound Margin

-4.1

0.1

- Defense:

Syracuse

Louisville

Opp. Points Per Game

74.9

78.8

Opp. FG%

45.6%

47.0%

Opp. 3P%

34.2%

36.8%

Steals Per Game

9.3

5.3

Blocks Per Game

4.2

2.6

Turnovers Forced Per Game

14.8

11.4

- Ball Handling:

Syracuse

Louisville

Assists Per Game

13.9

11.1

Turnovers Per Game

11.2

12.6

Turnover Margin

3.6

-1.2

Assist/Turnover Ratio

1.2

0.9

- ESPN Prediction: Per ESPN's Basketball Power Index, Louisville has a 30.5 percent chance to win against Syracuse.

- KenPom Prediction: Per KenPom.com, the Cardinals have a 29 percent chance to take down the Orange, with a projected final score of 81-75 in favor of Syracuse.

- Torvik Prediction: Per BartTorvik.com, the Cardinals have a 29 percent chance to take down the Orange, with a projected final score of 82-76 in favor of Syracuse.

- Personal Prediction: Syracuse 87, Louisville 71.

(Photo of Mike James: Mark Konezny - USA TODAY Sports)

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Published
Matthew McGavic
MATTHEW MCGAVIC

McGavic is a 2016 Sport Administration graduate of the University of Louisville, and a native of the Derby City. He has been covering the Cardinals in various capacities since 2017, with a brief stop in Atlanta, Ga. on the Georgia Tech beat. He is also a co-host of the 'From The Pink Seats' podcast on the State of Louisville network. Video gamer, bourbon drinker and dog lover. Find him on Twitter at @Matt_McGavic