Tale of The Tape, Predictions: Louisville vs. New Mexico State

The Cardinals return home from the Empire Classic for a matchup with the Aggies.

LOUISVILLE, Ky. - Louisville (2-3, 0-0 ACC) is set to face New Mexico State (3-4, 0-0 Conference USA) on Sunday, Nov. 26 at 1:00 p.m. EST from the KFC Yum! Center. Here's how the Cardinals stack up against the Aggies:

- Rankings:

New Mexico State

Louisville

AP/USA TODAY

NR/NR

NR/NR

NET

N/A

N/A

RPI

244th

226th

SOS

111th

141st

BPI

192nd

248th

KenPom

255th

146th

Torvik

248th

169th

Sagarin

N/A

N/A

- Team Leaders:

New Mexico State

Louisville

Points

Femi Odukale (15.0)

Skyy Clark (14.4)

Rebounds

Femi Odukale (7.5)

Brandon Huntley-Hatfield (9.8)

Assists

Jordan Rawls (4.5)

Ty-Laur Johnson (3.0)

Steals

Jaden Harris (1.3)

Two Tied (1.0)

Blocks

Jonathan Kanyanga (1.0)

Dennis Evans (1.0)

- Scoring:

New Mexico State

Louisville

Points Per Game

72.3

74.4

Field Goal %

40.8%

41.5%

FGM/FGA Per Game

24.2/50.7

25.0/60.2

Three Point %

36.4%

29.5%

3PTM/3PTA Per Game

8.0/18.9

5.2/17.6

Free Throw %

70.6%

72.2%

- Rebounding:

New Mexico State

Louisville

Rebounds Per Game

35.7

41.2

Off. Reb. Per Game

8.3

14.4

Def. Reb. Per Game

27.3

26.8

Rebound Margin

0.7

4.2

- Defense:

New Mexico State

Louisville

Opp. Points Per Game

70.2

74.0

Opp. FG%

41.3%

43.3%

Opp. 3PT%

32.3%

31.0%

Steals Per Game

7.3

5.6

Blocks Per Game

2.7

3.0

- Ball Handling:

New Mexico State

Louisville

Assists Per Game

13.8

9.6

Turnovers Per Game

11.7

13.2

Turnover Margin

2.3

-1.6

Assist/Turnover Ratio

1.2

0.7

- ESPN Prediction: Per ESPN's Basketball Power Index, Louisville has a 60.5 percent chance to win against New Mexico State.

- KenPom Prediction: Per KenPom.com, the Cardinals have a 78 percent chance to take down the Aggies, with a projected final score of 78-69 in favor of Louisville. By current metrics, Indiana is the third-lowest ranked non-conference opponent that Louisville will face all season.

- Torvik Prediction: Per BartTorvik.com, the Cardinals have a 79 percent chance to take down the Aggies, with a projected final score of 80-71 in favor of Indiana.

- Personal Prediction: Louisville 78, New Mexico State 73.

(Photo of Mike James: Matt Stone - Louisville Courier Journal / USA TODAY NETWORK)

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Matthew McGavic
MATTHEW MCGAVIC

McGavic is a 2016 Sport Administration graduate of the University of Louisville, and a native of the Derby City. He has been covering the Cardinals in various capacities since 2017, with a brief stop in Atlanta, Ga. on the Georgia Tech beat. He is also a co-host of the 'From The Pink Seats' podcast on the State of Louisville network. Video gamer, bourbon drinker and dog lover. Find him on Twitter at @Matt_McGavic